Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x688d445b4a8b43d6a9320ee5d82c4daef1b967e48edf4326cadb4ff645c031db

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,324,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,127,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,324,015 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	8c	70,867$5,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65,173.36	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	10c	53,401$5,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47,938.25	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	9c	47,349$4,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,889.99	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	20c	40,501$8,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,316.96	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	26,998$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,654.22	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	50c	20,356$10,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,077.43	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	7c	16,129$1,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,013.17	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Yes	73c	15,619$11,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,203.49	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+81%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes	35c	11,259$3,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,338.08	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	7c	11,004$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,287.84	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	2c	10,000$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,790.35	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	15c	9,797$1,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,361.75	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	44c	9,744$4,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,475.5	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	9,423$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,045.21	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…568ebacked Yes	18c	8,500$1,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,928.69	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes	6c	8,280$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,801.78	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	39c	6,378$2,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,922.15	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Yes	9c	6,199$537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,662.02	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6aca…c734backed Yes	31c	5,450$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,750.32	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	12c	4,603$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,062.88	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	9c	4,578$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,187.23	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	8c	4,519$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,162.2	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	5c	4,319$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,100.39	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb90a…b2fbbacked Yes	14c	3,890$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,359.43	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+83.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	73c	3,510$2,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.14	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	24c	3,492$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.28	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b69…16d4backed Yes	29c	3,355$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,394.64	223	27.8%62 W · 161 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Yes	3c	3,091$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,988.95	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+445.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	11c	3,090$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,744.89	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Yes	9c	2,999$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,728.88	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	4c	2,889$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.83	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe828…5ceabacked Yes	65c	2,545$1,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.7	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	2c	2,500$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,462.5	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes	13c	2,481$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,169.42	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	34c	2,412$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823.92	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80b5…9631backed Yes	18c	2,349$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,931.68	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40a…0615backed Yes	23c	2,320$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,797.35	50	18%9 W · 41 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d1…27dfbacked Yes	59c	2,301$1,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$934.53	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfbb…9e7cbacked Yes	10c	2,221$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,004.35	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5884…9466backed Yes	27c	2,217$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.92	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	37cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes	5c	2,203$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,102.98	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc18f…f929backed Yes	11c	2,159$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,917.64	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No	37c	2,136$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.67	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb009…b498backed Yes	26c	2,058$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,519.14	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes	6c	2,058$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,937.52	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	2,052$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,032.04	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2364…d963backed Yes	41c	2,023$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,198.16	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	3c	2,002$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.13	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x701c…4615backed Yes	62c	2,000$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47e4…7569backed Yes	6c	2,000$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,883.18	60	20%12 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…c181backed Yes	6c	2,000$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,872.77	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes	19c	1,950$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,586.7	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf014…d442backed Yes	17c	1,893$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,576.47	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed Yes	5c	1,877$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,777.46	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+218.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Yes	16c	1,875$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575	43	16.3%7 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Yes	29c	1,861$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,315.73	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	8c	1,773$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,635.81	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	8c	1,773$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,636.6	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf7…aba5backed Yes	30c	1,740$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220.51	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd83a…3609backed Yes	65c	1,738$1,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.28	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	6c	1,573$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,473.41	103	35.9%37 W · 66 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+108%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	4c	1,570$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,513.89	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16d6…7268backed Yes	59c	1,542$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.71	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes	13c	1,502$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,302.47	118	11%13 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked No	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	17c	1,500$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,252.5	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	9c	1,500$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,364.98	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	37c	1,487$557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930.64	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b73…b235backed Yes	3c	1,430$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,379.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	+614.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	12c	1,415$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,245.43	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d37…2f72backed Yes	16c	1,409$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,182.84	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b2…ff45backed Yes	5c	1,380$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,311	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+116.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes	4c	1,380$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330.89	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	1,343$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312.59	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	62c	1,340$832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.69	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4174…9008backed Yes	63c	1,309$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.35	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c2…468bbacked Yes	50c	1,300$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed Yes	11c	1,300$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,152.34	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed No	59c	1,284$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.8	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Yes	16c	1,277$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.93	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	7c	1,268$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,179.71	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	6c	1,252$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,182.39	94	20.2%19 W · 75 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2616…8d3cbacked Yes	10c	1,250$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,128.98	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…bc03backed Yes	13c	1,248$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.95	51	13.7%7 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	14c	1,243$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064.84	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0234…62dabacked Yes	14c	1,224$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,051.25	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Yes	75c	1,210$906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.95	80	31.3%25 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	11c	1,167$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,043.75	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8114…085abacked Yes	12c	1,142$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001.81	127	14.2%18 W · 109 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	15c	1,140$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.7	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7100…3c87backed Yes	11c	1,137$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.99	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee1…bc75backed Yes	9c	1,129$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,026.3	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc4…089cbacked Yes	25c	1,124$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	6c	1,115$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,051.42	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c54…2d86backed Yes	4c	1,101$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054.78	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+158.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Yes	6c	1,100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	3c	1,090$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.93	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b14…2a35backed Yes	12c	1,076$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.17	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8f…75e6backed Yes	14c	1,076$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925.82	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes	28c	1,075$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775.27	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event