Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc65c6425686d4d182c02f678e434946938e9072ccaa00ff46402e89cdf010dd5

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 24, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $732,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $477,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,823 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	4c	35,777$1,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370.71	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ac…57d5backed Yes	0c	24,645$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	15c	16,143$2,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,415.45	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	1c	14,698$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.98	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	15c	14,119$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,141.57	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	2c	10,173$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.8	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8901…d40cbacked Yes	0c	10,018$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x030e…5652backed Yes	10c	10,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	2c	8,033$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.16	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes	7c	7,134$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.25	70	5.7%4 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	7,023$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b90…0e32backed Yes	0c	5,953$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	5,848$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.29	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	5,548$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.53	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	8c	5,422$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.39	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Yes	20c	5,410$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x718b…e3c2backed Yes	1c	4,207$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.93	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2858…ff7fbacked Yes	2c	4,100$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc90b…cb24backed Yes	6c	3,869$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.4	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4081…cfb0backed Yes	3c	3,705$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.91	134	7.5%10 W · 124 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	0c	3,636$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e6…fb8ebacked Yes	5c	3,451$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	13c	3,291$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.13	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…568ebacked Yes	8c	3,000$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.88	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes	1c	2,914$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.37	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	6c	2,854$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.95	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	2c	2,622$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.4	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	7c	2,548$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.34	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	15c	2,436$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.51	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	2,423$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.13	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…ccd0backed Yes	10c	2,382$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee3b…8dcfbacked No	73c	2,234$1,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	2,231$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.76	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2088…ee36backed Yes	22c	2,218$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e4…7569backed Yes	9c	2,000$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	60	20%12 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes	13c	1,927$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.01	50	16%8 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	8c	1,925$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.5	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d41…4ba0backed Yes	26c	1,905$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7220…6fdebacked Yes	27c	1,834$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.52	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	73c	1,774$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.48	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2982…5a7cbacked Yes	13c	1,757$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.63	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf721…7778backed Yes	15c	1,729$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.24	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…c181backed Yes	13c	1,700$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.9	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x464b…8c05backed Yes	2c	1,567$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b63…1147backed Yes	7c	1,524$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	80c	1,520$1,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.47	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes	19c	1,472$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.29	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	7c	1,426$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.97	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…9480backed Yes	3c	1,419$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.11	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	1c	1,359$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes	12c	1,308$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.98	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes	11c	1,285$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	18c	1,264$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.05	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9776…390bbacked Yes	9c	1,224$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.17	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	34cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x487b…f382backed Yes	26c	1,164$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	9c	1,100$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.8	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Yes	8c	1,100$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	1c	1,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d8…fbc5backed Yes	14c	1,088$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	90	12.2%11 W · 79 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-42%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes	19c	1,068$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	1,024$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Yes	8c	1,016$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	58	8.6%5 W · 53 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb807…ba00backed Yes	4c	1,012$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes	18c	999.99$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+79.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdec…ffe8backed Yes	3c	999.93$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+103.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked No	76c	973.32$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.84	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Yes	10c	970$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.91	50	68%34 W · 16 L	+6.0wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34c2…1540backed Yes	2c	965.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaa0…1df7backed Yes	2c	896.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.89	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2e…3d70backed Yes	16c	838.77$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.2	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a9…6da5backed Yes	2c	837.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	11c	836.78$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.03	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2364…d963backed No	76c	810.2$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.13	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d9…0136backed Yes	19c	789.83$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.95	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b15…e32dbacked Yes	2c	780.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.27	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c4…a567backed Yes	2c	775.52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e98…a8e6backed Yes	26c	772.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-32%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f42…78fcbacked Yes	13c	754.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3113…9943backed Yes	8c	724.99$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.22	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd9c…5528backed Yes	2c	681.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-85.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd11…3401backed Yes	15c	664.88$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	17cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x471e…b99abacked Yes	15c	629.99$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.52	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes	18c	600$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80c0…f57ebacked Yes	9c	596.83$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.31	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fad…95f8backed Yes	9c	577.39$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…7ff4backed Yes	18c	563.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6078…a677backed Yes	15c	558.92$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.26	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	2c	549.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	19c	540.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed No	73c	535.69$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.82	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd394…3cc7backed No	77c	535.63$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.48	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…9ff3backed Yes	19c	533.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d37…2f72backed Yes	15c	506.22$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d02…220abacked Yes	18c	504.97$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.43	84	14.3%12 W · 72 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2b…3994backed Yes	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe7…2229backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.76	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf98a…0e35backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5884…9466backed Yes	29c	475.89$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.29	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	37cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x974a…ee7bbacked Yes	24c	462$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.24	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event