TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91d8…fbc5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT9012.2%11 W · 79 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+1,277.7%+$146.94
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.9
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.87
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.39
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$191
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$98.08
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$112.18
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$199.84
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+615.8%+$707.47
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$62.64
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or higher on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+312.5%+$63.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 33-34°F on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 43°F or higher on December 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.98
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$324.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+78%+$79.16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$39.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+133%+$15.76
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$64.7
Nuggets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+322.9%+$64.58
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$143.66
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+93%+$234.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$71.53
Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35.76
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will "Wicked: For Good" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$57.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-48%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$54.92
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+164.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+429.1%+$64.37
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+316.7%+$47.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.