Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40aa521e039c3e8a1f658d3f90568c225fb2a49baa62f7da0d4c021a3ed74b18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,284 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 17c | 32,081$5,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,324.88 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 19c | 23,708$4,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,523.73 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,534$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 179 | 17.9%32 W · 147 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,860$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 8c | 7,395$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.72 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…a52dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,094$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…0d06backed Yes | 3c | 5,082$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 45c | 4,432$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.98 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 11c | 4,426$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.88 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 48c | 3,354$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.29 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 2c | 3,230$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…a8f7backed Yes | 50c | 2,973$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 6c | 2,769$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 52c | 2,637$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.61 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…93eebacked Yes | 52c | 2,628$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.49 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Yes | 20c | 2,532$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.75 | 96 | 16.7%16 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 14c | 2,528$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.9 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 1c | 2,510$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 16c | 2,295$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.06 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 4c | 2,160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 24c | 2,051$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.7 | 130 | 14.6%19 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…c39abacked Yes | 4c | 1,948$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 182 | 18.7%34 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 53c | 1,775$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.45 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 1c | 1,758$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 237 | 35.4%84 W · 153 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 60c | 1,747$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.51 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 19c | 1,670$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.83 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6370…50a4backed Yes | 61c | 1,411$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.91 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 56c | 1,342$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.35 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf640…bc3ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,312$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 44c | 1,287$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.18 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…f796backed Yes | 3c | 1,246$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 1,175$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.96 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 11c | 1,175$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…3787backed Yes | 1c | 1,163$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 37c | 1,076$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 11c | 1,054$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 25c | 1,050$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.3 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…37d3backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 410 | 17.8%73 W · 337 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…558bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 181 | 23.8%43 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 39c | 976.66$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.11 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed Yes | 41c | 973.69$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.82 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Yes | 42c | 837.8$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.42 | 187 | 22.5%42 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…cba8backed Yes | 42c | 817.53$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.15 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 34c | 815.49$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.78 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 41c | 802.01$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.26 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 42c | 764.93$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…4d4abacked Yes | 54c | 741.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 40c | 740$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…b920backed Yes | 53c | 715.61$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.55 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 44c | 711.14$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.32 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 30c | 699.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…6099backed No | 70c | 693.4$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 8c | 655.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 653.01$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 52c | 639.73$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.62 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 55c | 610.75$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.83 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes | 49c | 608$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 43c | 606.13$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.67 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…a75cbacked No | 55c | 597.86$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.07 | 262 | 11.1%29 W · 233 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes | 49c | 567.57$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.87 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 38c | 550$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…4824backed Yes | 60c | 508.63$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.18 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 53c | 500.48$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked No | 39c | 500$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.48 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…6abdbacked Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 56c | 493.12$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 210 | 34.8%73 W · 137 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…c8b2backed Yes | 40c | 487.8$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 48c | 473.8$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.71 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 5c | 473.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed No | 51c | 436.56$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.83 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…a17cbacked Yes | 57c | 431.5$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 70c | 431.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 22c | 430$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 38c | 399.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 193 | 17.6%34 W · 159 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 60c | 382.54$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.52 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…3f68backed Yes | 41c | 367.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…7df9backed Yes | 38c | 365.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 364.05$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 57c | 352.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 53c | 348.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.69 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 342.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 38c | 340.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 267 | 22.8%61 W · 206 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…6595backed No | 67c | 339.66$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Yes | 61c | 320.68$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…67b0backed Yes | 7c | 305$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 52c | 301.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.36 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…2e56backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…fb10backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 140 | 26.4%37 W · 103 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c98…6f55backed Yes | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 228 | 24.1%55 W · 173 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…6604backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dab…e581backed No | 51c | 285.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 77c | 271.53$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes | 38c | 263.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…9d3ebacked Yes | 36c | 260.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…ff9abacked Yes | 20c | 254.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 87 | 12.6%11 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.