Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x998359f8c7b816e0d73a3f05232241441936fca62bebd87c62c6f2c62304f99c

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $373,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,877 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	52,048$1,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,913.79	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa459…7dd6backed Yes	0c	22,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	3c	18,440$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.81	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	0c	15,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	12,348$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.18	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	10,910$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	5c	10,584$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.84	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	1c	7,821$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.33	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	0c	7,391$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	2c	6,573$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.42	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	4c	6,279$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.11	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	3c	6,151$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.3	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	6,003$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.61	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	7c	5,674$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c09…eea9backed Yes	3c	5,614$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.41	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	3c	5,153$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.27	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	2c	5,123$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.16	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9be9…7017backed Yes	0c	4,536$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	5c	4,011$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.9	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	5c	3,990$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2c…a07dbacked Yes	3c	3,985$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ad…b05dbacked Yes	6c	3,940$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.76	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes	2c	3,847$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.66	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f2…60fabacked Yes	9c	3,249$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.85	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-41%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	4c	3,217$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.72	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	3c	3,191$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.37	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	2c	3,039$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.61	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	2c	3,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	6c	2,982$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.13	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,874$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.82	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	2,763$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.06	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	8c	2,740$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.14	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	2,435$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.57	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	1c	2,361$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	138	9.4%13 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	2,349$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.36	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	2,300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes	2c	2,281$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.1	218	18.3%40 W · 178 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	2,229$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.22	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4593…9cd5backed Yes	4c	2,158$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.28	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df6…556fbacked Yes	2c	2,092$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	4c	2,069$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.64	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	2,032$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.53	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9558…68c3backed Yes	4c	2,000$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	7c	1,954$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.72	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	1c	1,950$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	3c	1,945$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.73	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	1c	1,933$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.74	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes	6c	1,704$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	96	26%25 W · 71 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	1,697$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.82	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	3c	1,695$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.63	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	1,538$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Yes	7c	1,400$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.8	201	29.4%59 W · 142 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	2c	1,400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.21	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c2…9a9ebacked Yes	2c	1,333$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x035f…33ebbacked Yes	1c	1,292$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.39	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	3c	1,253$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.38	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	6c	1,240$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.52	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	8c	1,207$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.53	179	17.9%32 W · 147 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf58…c25bbacked Yes	4c	1,130$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.63	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x965f…50debacked Yes	2c	1,058$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	4c	1,033$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1d…b3b0backed Yes	5c	1,005$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.25	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	9c	1,000$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	2c	1,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.77	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	999.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	3c	999.97$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10a…e987backed Yes	2c	960.26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.13	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x063d…35c7backed Yes	4c	937.19$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa1…95b4backed Yes	2c	894.89$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	59	20.3%12 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes	2c	893.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	243	26.7%65 W · 178 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	3c	866.97$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.56	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	4c	835.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.07	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	832.92$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.96	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	5c	800$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.2	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Yes	5c	799.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.3	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	8c	739.17$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.49	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	3c	673.44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.02	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes	7c	629.79$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.24	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	3c	628.13$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b4e…e44abacked Yes	7c	610$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.29	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	2c	590$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…360fbacked Yes	5c	566.09$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	7c	548.66$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	3c	539.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed Yes	3c	529.86$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac64…0dd2backed Yes	4c	500$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	150	17.3%26 W · 124 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c38…a3a5backed Yes	10c	491.73$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.44	182	24.2%44 W · 138 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes	2c	483.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes	2c	449.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	104	22.1%23 W · 81 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	4c	435.39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	2c	421.21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33cc…1dc5backed Yes	3c	418.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Yes	4c	400$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes	6c	374.05$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c61…f58bbacked Yes	3c	337.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.05	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe380…70e2backed Yes	6c	324.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.14	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	9c	315.75$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf5…fa29backed Yes	8c	308.24$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.2	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04eb…1ab3backed Yes	6c	306.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event