TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd68…0261

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
306
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT19930.7%61 W · 138 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 199 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.82
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$360
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.78
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.93
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$181.6
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.62
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$459.04
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$102.3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.08
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$129.57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.98
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.78
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.38
Showing 25 of 199 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.42
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.4%+$220
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$53.3
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+28%+$109.56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$49.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.82
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.13
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$25.27
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$37.32
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$38.27
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.99
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$247.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.66
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.67
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.7
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.44
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.6
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$66.7
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$40.85
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$181.92
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.06
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$82.8
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$175.49
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$115.33
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$3,195
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36.18
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$79.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+252.1%+$143.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+300%+$270
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$78.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.