CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b9c4bb22babd2be585ce660568c9810e8481313f36abe900ec069d4d4f530e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Vitality | 65c | 34,342$22,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,123.88 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 63c | 32,296$20,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,840.89 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 24,020$8,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,407.09 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed66…90dfbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 20,381$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 19,424$6,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,798.52 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 16,503$5,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,941.08 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 10,759$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.54 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Vitality | 65c | 9,700$6,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.98 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 8,388$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.69 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Vitality | 64c | 8,158$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.91 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Vitality | 65c | 7,739$5,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.58 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Vitality | 79c | 7,500$5,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.99 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…37a2backed Vitality | 65c | 7,275$4,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 6,435$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…477cbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 6,208$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.19 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 6,044$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.14 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.97 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 4,900$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 4,854$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.79 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 4,616$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.97 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Vitality | 65c | 4,306$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.26 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Vitality | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,800$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.78 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 3,691$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.17 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 3,600$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 3,269$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.55 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 2,925$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.87 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vitality | 76c | 2,904$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.59 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,831$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.37 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 2,626$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.32 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,408$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.04 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,404$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.44 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vitality | 75c | 2,389$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.61 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 2,329$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.77 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…1a93backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 2,321$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,257$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.55 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 2,060$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Vitality | 65c | 2,033$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.66 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,923$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.35 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Vitality | 73c | 1,879$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.42 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,819$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.75 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,800$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,770$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.54 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,721$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.19 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed Vitality | 65c | 1,657$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.87 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…eca4backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,603$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Vitality | 65c | 1,539$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.75 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Vitality | 65c | 1,506$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Vitality | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.64 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…1ab9backed Vitality | 66c | 1,469$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…de65backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,452$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,419$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.98 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 1,358$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,200$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.98 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,192$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,147$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.59 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,118$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 1,075$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Vitality | 64c | 1,048$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.64 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Vitality | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Vitality | 66c | 996.19$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.71 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Vitality | 65c | 992.44$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.35 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…27c3backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 985.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…b1fabacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 979.74$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 65c | 979$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 965.31$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 901.97$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.06 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality | 67c | 881.94$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.89 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 860.58$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.36 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 846.66$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.92 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 829.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.44 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 816.98$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.82 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vitality | 78c | 783$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.16 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 771.53$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.73 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 757.42$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.86 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Vitality | 76c | 756.44$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Vitality | 65c | 753.08$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 739.06$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.55 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 736$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 721.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 721.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.63 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 711.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vitality | 79c | 703.73$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vitality | 78c | 702.74$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 691.92$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.17 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…791bbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 680.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 678.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 667.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 625$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Vitality | 66c | 593.7$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.86 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…19a9backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 571.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 538.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 533.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…ed6ebacked Vitality | 64c | 533.53$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Vitality | 80c | 510.67$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 507.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Vitality | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Vitality | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 465.6$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.