CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7313eca90f125cb3c90863bf0082bfd3d64d1c94d8a59a6913c322989ae05c35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $760,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $879,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 225,503$48,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,974.32 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Vitality | 77c | 44,672$34,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,274.54 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 38,178$9,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.07 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 29,574$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,998.62 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 27,101$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Vitality | 75c | 26,387$19,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,596.86 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Vitality | 75c | 22,448$16,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.05 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 76c | 20,949$15,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,027.72 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality | 75c | 20,499$15,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,162.86 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 16,513$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.09 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 15,990$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.23 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…7336backed Vitality | 75c | 13,739$10,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 12,717$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.11 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 12,254$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.91 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…a9bebacked Vitality | 75c | 10,215$7,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Vitality | 76c | 10,172$7,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.28 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Vitality | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…37a2backed Vitality | 78c | 9,258$7,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.92 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 9,171$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.24 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 8,575$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Vitality | 77c | 7,899$6,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.38 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Vitality | 76c | 7,481$5,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.76 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 6,736$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.39 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 6,513$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.86 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…477cbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 6,494$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 6,093$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.79 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 5,718$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.63 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 5,480$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.9 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 5,411$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality | 78c | 5,337$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Vitality | 78c | 5,316$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.51 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Vitality | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vitality | 77c | 3,765$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.06 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 3,628$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.31 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 3,584$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.28 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 78c | 3,508$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.71 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 3,234$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.51 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vitality | 78c | 3,181$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.62 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Vitality | 77c | 3,140$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.31 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Vitality | 75c | 3,055$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.8 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,860$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.63 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 2,706$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.95 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 2,562$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.2 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…b1fabacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 2,483$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Vitality | 77c | 2,419$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.41 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed Vitality | 77c | 2,230$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.9 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,207$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.93 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…a903backed Vitality | 76c | 2,090$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vitality | 78c | 2,013$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.88 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 2,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,984$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.25 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Vitality | 77c | 1,972$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.65 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,963$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.9 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0597…22f1backed Vitality | 75c | 1,893$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…1ab9backed Vitality | 78c | 1,876$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 1,673$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Vitality | 76c | 1,608$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.52 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…19a9backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,554$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…ce96backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 1,539$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Vitality | 78c | 1,522$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.83 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Vitality | 75c | 1,478$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.37 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,428$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.57 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 1,400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…eca4backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,392$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,352$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 1,240$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…202fbacked Vitality | 77c | 1,230$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.49 | 180 | 67.8%122 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b1…d772backed Vitality | 76c | 1,204$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Vitality | 75c | 1,101$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.14 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 1,068$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 1,055$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,015$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Vitality | 78c | 1,003$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vitality | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.08 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Vitality | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 984.74$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.67 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Vitality | 70c | 959.98$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.98 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 923.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 899.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vitality | 76c | 885.97$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.05 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Vitality | 75c | 883.26$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 796.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Vitality | 75c | 791.79$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 783.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…791bbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 776.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 750.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…b8abbacked Vitality | 75c | 747.14$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.79 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…0366backed Vitality | 76c | 702.41$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 189 | 63.5%120 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Vitality | 75c | 670$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Vitality | 76c | 645.59$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.67 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked Vitality | 76c | 644.76$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.71 | 215 | 57.2%123 W · 92 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…04aebacked Vitality | 77c | 639.02$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 619.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Vitality | 76c | 614.11$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.