TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x955c…ce96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT4641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+246.5%+$179.67
LoL: Dignitas vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$29.34
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.59
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.32
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$75.29
LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$108.52
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.22
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.87
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.58
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.95
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$501.97
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$248.18
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.56
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$527.75
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+178.3%+$60.93
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$294.84
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$874.52
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$122.19
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.62
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.85
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$399.25
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$432.64
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.47
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,432.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,455.54
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$143.88
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,604.49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.31
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$298.24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,471Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$1,998.04
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.27
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.95
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$785.93
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$501.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.