TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes26c15,109$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.0181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes4c6,679$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9714820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Yes12c6,536$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.5350947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba7…a833backed No74c5,768$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Yes25c5,000$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26533452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed No75c3,277$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.1237157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Yes14c3,188$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9228046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48aa…14febacked No74c3,015$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.533246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes5c2,720$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.611,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40a…fa62backed Yes31c2,497$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.462462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes14c2,326$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2326624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6e2…49c6backed Yes26c2,168$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes26c1,848$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.5816142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x955c…ce96backed Yes26c1,742$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.471435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes6c1,555$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2425842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes6c1,532$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.916613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c1,527$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.76700%0 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0737…b25bbacked Yes13c1,466$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.42520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No73c1,450$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes5c1,365$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5312328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes22c1,361$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9952837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6eb…36fdbacked No74c1,353$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.141275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked No74c1,330$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.5810737.4%40 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Yes10c1,313$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0429858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes7c1,282$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3129127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes26c1,002$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.445543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f42…bf3bbacked Yes5c944$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+139.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes7c914.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.837538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa782…a9d6backed Yes10c829.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Yes28c826.4$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.939248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes29c798.82$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.571838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes27c786.71$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Yes26c737.79$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.092944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c658.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.95759.3%7 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked No70c652.53$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7612736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes12c600.02$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.777647.4%36 W · 40 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+44.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes25c500$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.58933.7%30 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Yes4c500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.462538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes12c495.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.486225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd7…df10backed Yes12c451.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x312f…913cbacked Yes26c426.47$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.491827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes15c412.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3516235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207664.5%49 W · 27 L+9.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes31c391.14$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.791,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3234…3862backed Yes6c353.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.681838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48d…5817backed Yes6c351.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4640%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes5c351$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9170%0 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8abc…9e55backed Yes3c340$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed No76c321.77$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.081,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e42…5856backed Yes24c319.47$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.358929.2%26 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb52…a63bbacked Yes16c315.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.02333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…4ddfbacked Yes13c288.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes20c258.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.673,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Yes27c252.71$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.988158%47 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda54…63d4backed Yes14c250.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.956634.8%23 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9a…f6e9backed No73c249.84$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda85…bd68backed Yes9c246.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.812850%14 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes13c243.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9310735.5%38 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b46…82e2backed Yes16c236.09$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.03650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc3…5fc8backed Yes24c211.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe074…0bdbbacked Yes30c204.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.58650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce62…51a0backed Yes12c200.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.562025%5 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8250…ddd0backed Yes24c198.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bed…fd9cbacked Yes7c197.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1620656.8%117 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Yes11c175.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.883571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes11c172.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.934173.2%30 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+14.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Yes26c161.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.434841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56af…3065backed Yes23c161.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.025820.7%12 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c36…08f5backed Yes26c158.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.025036%18 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb58a…b840backed Yes7c157.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.395949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc96…f32abacked Yes26c154.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.84520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-64.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5005…620cbacked Yes26c147.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.221758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd91…3cc3backed Yes26c147.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.114344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb14…4fb8backed Yes10c143.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc5…09bdbacked Yes14c140.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.962920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc4…d48cbacked Yes26c137.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5113543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2555…5254backed Yes30c133.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.994042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9725…46d0backed Yes12c125.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef74…700fbacked Yes26c125.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4985…dce4backed Yes27c123.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0413545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9205…2aa7backed Yes26c115.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d8…0023backed Yes26c110.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.678150.6%41 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x517a…7383backed Yes26c107.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece3…19ddbacked Yes26c96.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.992356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes31c95.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1514142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…9f19backed Yes11c94.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4111350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Yes16c86.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4443933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Yes24c82.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.773748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd742…9d26backed Yes23c81.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.161668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Yes26c76.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26f…ef74backed Yes26c73.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b3…6b11backed Yes26c73.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63bd…3480backed Yes26c70.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc26…0846backed Yes30c66.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0b…c5f3backed Yes24c62.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-78.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d52…43b5backed Yes26c62.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes33c61.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1961837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…6bcebacked Yes26c59.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d65…383bbacked Yes26c59.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.292445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83eb…c122backed Yes26c55.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.