TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8c36…08f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
321
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 60 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT15635.9%56 W · 100 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 156 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+542%+$238.14
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.07
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$53.44
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.49
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+171%+$31.41
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$30.14
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+310.9%+$155.44
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.84
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.67
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$40.6
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$13.63
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+122%+$23.38
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+193.3%+$39.42
Showing 25 of 156 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT5036%18 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.14
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.09
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.66
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.84
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+157%+$47.66
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.46
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.97
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.25
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$123.8
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+178.9%+$40.4
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.97
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$17.2
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.54
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$267.48
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$30.88
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.12
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.36
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.71
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.38
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.09
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$57.66
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.39
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.76
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$143.67
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.57
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.74
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.06
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.23
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.32
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.84
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.73
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.95
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.47
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.95
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+226.1%+$56.42
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.37
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+231.3%+$82.51
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$68.6
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.47
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.31
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.41
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.37
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.92
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$22.34
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$41.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.57
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.41
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.66
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$3.44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$3.83
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$3.77
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$3.07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$3.29
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.53
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49%+$7.35
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$4.82
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$5.27
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$4.25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on March 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$7.58
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$53.68
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruudbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Hamburg European Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$143.65
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$72.18
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick46cpaid+97.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.41
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$5.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirebacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.