TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Casper Ruudof Raphael Collignon, Casper Ruud
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$494,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$641,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Casper Ruud73c45,408$32,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,453.1913843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Raphael Collignon32c34,919$11,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,048.998,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Raphael Collignon28c27,337$7,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,654.3356757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Casper Ruud74c27,094$19,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,115.46141%25 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Raphael Collignon36c22,547$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,159.674,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf00c…f4febacked Casper Ruud59c20,615$12,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,531.23256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Casper Ruud73c20,226$14,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,429.5630740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Casper Ruud55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.967236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Raphael Collignon24c13,116$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.8666649.5%330 W · 336 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Raphael Collignon26c11,120$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.2821642.6%92 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Raphael Collignon27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70010443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raphael Collignon37c8,725$3,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.9511,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Raphael Collignon24c8,351$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.64,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc829…cad3backed Casper Ruud72c6,998$5,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.5611945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x288c…3641backed Raphael Collignon43c6,982$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…7f92backed Casper Ruud74c6,776$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.882657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Casper Ruud76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.9543863.9%280 W · 158 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Raphael Collignon27c6,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9971852.8%379 W · 339 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Raphael Collignon27c5,555$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8437540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Raphael Collignon42c5,246$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.486,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Casper Ruud72c4,968$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.916165.6%40 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Casper Ruud76c4,257$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.591,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Raphael Collignon28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1208045%36 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Casper Ruud76c3,792$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.421,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Raphael Collignon27c3,673$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.812,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Casper Ruud74c3,378$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.381,25756.6%711 W · 546 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Raphael Collignon26c3,370$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.013,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Raphael Collignon28c3,333$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.2430439.8%121 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Raphael Collignon8c3,253$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…6c9fbacked Raphael Collignon39c3,234$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.064247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+119.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Casper Ruud70c3,133$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.844,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d87…0f1abacked Raphael Collignon28c3,087$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.332657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Casper Ruud72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9933246.4%154 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Raphael Collignon26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9968935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raphael Collignon28c2,833$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.632,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Casper Ruud60c2,682$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.121454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Casper Ruud73c2,578$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.083,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Raphael Collignon45c2,553$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.0116552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Raphael Collignon28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacac…2d37backed Raphael Collignon27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6759040%36 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Raphael Collignon1c2,210$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.212,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ed…b2d8backed Casper Ruud76c2,085$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.348056.3%45 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Casper Ruud70c2,039$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.1852661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Raphael Collignon26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52019339.4%76 W · 117 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Raphael Collignon28c1,933$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.241,01350.1%508 W · 505 L+36.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Raphael Collignon11c1,888$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20672132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Raphael Collignon1c1,835$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.241,2058%96 W · 1,109 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Casper Ruud71c1,770$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.3224643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Casper Ruud56c1,749$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.5910655.7%59 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Casper Ruud59c1,694$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.2535755.5%198 W · 159 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3957…35f0backed Casper Ruud74c1,630$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.6817171.9%123 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Raphael Collignon27c1,600$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43533342.6%142 W · 191 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Raphael Collignon26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Raphael Collignon27c1,524$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.54,07039.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L+92.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Raphael Collignon27c1,442$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.2533550.7%170 W · 165 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Raphael Collignon25c1,386$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.521,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Raphael Collignon45c1,386$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.5425245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Raphael Collignon26c1,346$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Raphael Collignon45c1,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Casper Ruud60c1,328$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.1242042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Casper Ruud78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0593168.1%634 W · 297 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5fe…e23dbacked Raphael Collignon27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3246530.8%20 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Raphael Collignon41c1,171$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Raphael Collignon26c1,100$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.91,50537.7%568 W · 937 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Raphael Collignon23c1,053$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24711843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Casper Ruud73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27019452.1%101 W · 93 L-13.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Casper Ruud73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2709058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Raphael Collignon26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Raphael Collignon27c999.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9931850.3%160 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Casper Ruud72c810.28$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8817859%105 W · 73 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e64…d958backed Raphael Collignon33c780.34$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.683250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Raphael Collignon6c778.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8541131.9%131 W · 280 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Raphael Collignon28c762.03$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3741941.1%172 W · 247 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Raphael Collignon27c742$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.341,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Casper Ruud61c738.91$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.544,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Raphael Collignon28c722$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.381047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Casper Ruud57c711$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6241060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Casper Ruud56c697.5$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30817738.4%68 W · 109 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee3…3a0abacked Raphael Collignon29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004650%23 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed Raphael Collignon45c661.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Casper Ruud79c623.45$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.179855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Casper Ruud65c614.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.661,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Casper Ruud61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23414835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Casper Ruud72c590.35$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.132,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Casper Ruud71c589.96$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.791,82853.1%971 W · 857 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Casper Ruud61c585.25$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2527446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Raphael Collignon31c558.31$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.664,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Casper Ruud63c538.26$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.1629754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Casper Ruud73c536.52$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8612248.4%59 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raphael Collignon30c527.29$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.628,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Raphael Collignon34c501.48$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.242,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Casper Ruud59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20527132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Casper Ruud72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14034242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Raphael Collignon28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14026049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5732…9030backed Casper Ruud74c499.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.995164.7%33 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Raphael Collignon34c468.18$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3535832.4%116 W · 242 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Casper Ruud63c461.56$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6448835.9%175 W · 313 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Raphael Collignon27c450$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.51,09052.6%573 W · 517 L-4.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Raphael Collignon34c447.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15096541.5%400 W · 565 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Raphael Collignon22c410$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.572,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.