TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x288c…3641

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT9430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$587.6
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alex de Minaur be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arthur Fils be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ugo Humbert be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.7
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,865.71
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublikbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,912Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,912
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,964
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,928.57
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Maria Timofeevabacked Maria Lourdes Carle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+154.7%+$3,093.73
Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsenbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,596
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondarbacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+409.7%+$4,096.79
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Laslo Djerebacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$3,555.56
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Janice Tjen vs Camila Osoriobacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,843
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Mayar Sherif vs Martina Trevisanbacked Martina Trevisan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Diane Parrybacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,278.69
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Aoi Itobacked Aoi Ito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Panna Udvardybacked Sada Nahimana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,508
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,496
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.