Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b2dd194251849b2d1911c639d692e146c1e6f927a47b3f78b93b11bf631799e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Camilo Ugo Carabelliof Camilo Ugo Carabelli, Frances Tiafoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $855,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $997,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $855,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 457 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 44c | 64,025$27,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,933.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 55c | 60,007$32,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,970.76 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Frances Tiafoe | 47c | 55,128$25,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,862.65 | 309 | 40.5%125 W · 184 L | -24.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…0752backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 41,606$18,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,785.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 66c | 39,223$26,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,146.32 | 1,211 | 49.1%595 W · 616 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 34,309$15,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,869.97 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Frances Tiafoe | 48c | 31,182$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 30,000$13,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,350 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 66c | 29,596$19,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,106.98 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5ac9backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 47c | 28,577$13,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,242.16 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Frances Tiafoe | 55c | 27,982$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,250.26 | 1,237 | 46.3%573 W · 664 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 57c | 20,648$11,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,876.27 | 4,277 | 45%1,925 W · 2,352 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 47c | 19,746$9,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,475.54 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Frances Tiafoe | 41c | 16,689$6,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,797.12 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 62c | 14,711$9,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,648.86 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Frances Tiafoe | 57c | 12,540$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 64c | 12,262$7,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.75 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 58c | 10,486$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.29 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 10,255$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,558.95 | 739 | 53.2%393 W · 346 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 58c | 9,076$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.16 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 36c | 8,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Frances Tiafoe | 39c | 7,678$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Frances Tiafoe | 57c | 7,533$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,294.04 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 73c | 7,213$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.38 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Frances Tiafoe | 55c | 7,134$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.38 | 1,694 | 50.5%856 W · 838 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 72c | 6,960$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.13 | 442 | 63.6%281 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Frances Tiafoe | 49c | 6,575$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,224.42 | 721 | 29.7%214 W · 507 L | -41.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Frances Tiafoe | 46c | 5,502$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.14 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Frances Tiafoe | 39c | 5,283$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.18 | 3,749 | 42.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L | -44.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 4,480$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.89 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…5a05backed Frances Tiafoe | 52c | 4,320$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…3641backed Frances Tiafoe | 52c | 3,837$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 55c | 3,791$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 57c | 3,594$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.76 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 58c | 3,477$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.92 | 607 | 53.7%326 W · 281 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 64c | 3,342$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.72 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.73 | 1,449 | 28.4%412 W · 1,037 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Frances Tiafoe | 32c | 2,997$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.2 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 49c | 2,992$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.14 | 1,742 | 50.2%875 W · 867 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 56c | 2,810$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.33 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Frances Tiafoe | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 2,675$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.06 | 1,428 | 55%785 W · 643 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 42c | 2,532$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.52 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 79c | 2,504$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.61 | 3,731 | 45.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 48c | 2,395$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.3 | 649 | 55.2%358 W · 291 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 2,283$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.2 | 2,223 | 36.9%821 W · 1,402 L | +40.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Frances Tiafoe | 46c | 2,229$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 49c | 2,178$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Frances Tiafoe | 48c | 2,047$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.29 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…2640backed Frances Tiafoe | 52c | 2,030$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…2e81backed Frances Tiafoe | 53c | 2,028$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.96 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 68c | 1,898$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.42 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 64c | 1,887$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.48 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 1,777$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.56 | 1,054 | 50.2%529 W · 525 L | +38.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Frances Tiafoe | 55c | 1,767$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.74 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 1,690$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.33 | 216 | 38%82 W · 134 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Frances Tiafoe | 34c | 1,682$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.74 | 382 | 38.2%146 W · 236 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Frances Tiafoe | 36c | 1,616$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.34 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…3a0abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50c | 1,581$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.88 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 53c | 1,565$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826 | 953 | 68.2%650 W · 303 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 1,539$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.83 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Frances Tiafoe | 39c | 1,519$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.47 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Frances Tiafoe | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 44c | 1,509$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.72 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Frances Tiafoe | 54c | 1,508$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.11 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 1,493$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.15 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 65c | 1,453$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.86 | 2,881 | 49.5%1,427 W · 1,454 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb285…68d3backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 431 | 42%181 W · 250 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 45c | 1,200$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.81 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 47c | 1,186$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.7 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 53c | 1,184$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.81 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 1,120$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.8 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Frances Tiafoe | 33c | 1,118$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.09 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 38c | 1,108$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.86 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Frances Tiafoe | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.99 | 233 | 43.8%102 W · 131 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Frances Tiafoe | 58c | 1,021$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.16 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 1,019$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.42 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…6481backed Frances Tiafoe | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 132 | 22%29 W · 103 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 52c | 963.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.67 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 52c | 946.65$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Frances Tiafoe | 38c | 935.52$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.65 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 892.93$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.48 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Frances Tiafoe | 32c | 864.71$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.43 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Frances Tiafoe | 41c | 836.59$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.02 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…452ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 54c | 826.58$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17c…dad7backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 43c | 808.53$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.86 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2197…6d70backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 792.39$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Frances Tiafoe | 54c | 769.99$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 42c | 759.87$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.72 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b5…b370backed Frances Tiafoe | 52c | 710.49$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed Frances Tiafoe | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 53c | 669.07$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.78 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Frances Tiafoe | 30c | 650.4$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Frances Tiafoe | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 60c | 633.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.57 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 52c | 615.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 513 | 42.5%218 W · 295 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoethis page
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)Carabelli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.