TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf56b…ac88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT11438.6%44 W · 70 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,632.38
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$754.58
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osakabacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.81
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Roland Garros WTA: Dalma Galfi vs Mayar Sherifbacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.41
Roland Garros ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.81
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$640.34
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,435.97
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.64
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.17
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmanebacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+184.2%+$570.95
Roland Garros ATP: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rafael Jodarbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.42
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Leheckabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$7,797.56
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$1,399.17
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10,223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$3,748.8
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Katarina Zavatska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.58
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,575Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$2,337.07
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Leandro Riedibacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$1,111.42
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.99
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$922Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$922.17
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Federico Cinabacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$605.42
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$730.84
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+155.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.99
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$1,358.07
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$694.61
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,574.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,051.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,400
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Canada vs. Norwaybacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,028.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.