Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9af6a29c434b3cac2d60499c2e5f05a9f5a9456ecccc772dc9bc6f5460ddc13c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aryna Sabalenkaof Aryna Sabalenka, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 55,788$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…f6bebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 50,567$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.36 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 23,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 18,892$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.97 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 15,840$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 0c | 13,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +496.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 0c | 12,292$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 11,582$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.98 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 2c | 9,233$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 0c | 6,515$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 4,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 4,038$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 3,892$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 3,189$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ed…c1e5backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 3c | 2,408$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 2c | 2,187$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…52b2backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 1,929$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 1,875$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 2c | 1,843$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 6c | 1,722$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 6c | 1,638$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 1c | 1,615$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 1,332$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 7c | 1,188$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 2c | 1,041$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 6c | 1,039$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 962.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 2c | 957.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 2c | 938.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 938$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 8c | 870.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9173…a6a6backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 866$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 6c | 810.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 2c | 524.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…0716backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 6c | 499.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…2a3ebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 9c | 435.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…72b4backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 337.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 288.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirothis page
- Sabalenka vs. Maneiro: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs ManeiroSabalenka won
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)Sabalenka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.