TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa99b…52b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaardbacked Thijs Boogaard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.75
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulterbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.89
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Mensik vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$418.2
Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Darya Astakhovabacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.2
Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$469.8
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$2,795.69
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.22
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.01
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$40.85
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.88
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$414
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.7
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$486
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$442
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.19
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$418.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed John Yannis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.