MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ab235678b623f2e7804227c97e2578aa932a2605d6d6f8bf95086da4f7686ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $668,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $707,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 48,885$35,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.05 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 48,252$23,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,160.83 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 34,414$18,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,588.08 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 33,219$16,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,277.29 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,699.9 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 26,000$13,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,480 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 25,569$8,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,669.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 24,322$7,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,253.36 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 20,461$12,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,503.69 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 19,350$9,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,481.6 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 14,037$6,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,774.7 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 12,168$5,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.48 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 10,006$4,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.54 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.94 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 9,984$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.16 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 9,813$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.71 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 9,386$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,321 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 8,131$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.04 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 8,069$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.84 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 6,003$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.12 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 5,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.61 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.96 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e770backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Kansas City Royals | 77c | 4,782$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.76 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 4,500$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.99 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 4,385$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 4,309$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.7 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 4,308$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 4,124$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 3,999$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 3,905$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 3,842$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.23 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 3,682$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.35 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 3,659$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.41 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 3,601$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.43 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 3,031$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.18 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.95 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,981$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.47 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 2,928$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 2,840$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.18 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 2,550$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.3 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,446$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 2,320$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.71 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 2,301$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.82 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 2,239$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.42 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 2,149$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.23 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 2,000$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 1,940$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,895$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.55 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 1,731$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.77 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,646$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.01 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,621$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.06 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 1,610$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.2 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,555$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.95 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,547$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.4 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,544$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.19 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,435$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.85 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 1,417$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.31 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 1,417$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.04 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 1,407$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.48 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 1,342$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.66 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 1,327$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.62 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…668abacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,287$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,246$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 79c | 1,209$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.23 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…6cb6backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 1,192$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,070$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.36 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 1,032$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.25 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 999.97$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.98 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 992.52$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.26 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 989$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Kansas City Royals | 34c | 968.62$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.62 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 917.73$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.88 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 882.04$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.38 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 880.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 841.86$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.09 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 838.26$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.18 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 804.71$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.51 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 800.01$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.87 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 13.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 14.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.