MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9df594cbfebb4df47a05a12806018b446f59113cfc9f4a1dbb96c4a2d05a489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Under | 56c | 23,580$13,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,090.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 17,573$8,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,534.59 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 55c | 17,181$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,449.73 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 53c | 7,694$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.83 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 6,207$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.62 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 57c | 6,000$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.41 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 6,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.99 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 4,358$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.56 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 3,067$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 2,461$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.33 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 2,449$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.86 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 2,375$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.67 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 2,071$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.51 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 2,034$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.14 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.89 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 1,739$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.03 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 1,412$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.28 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed Under | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 50c | 1,309$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.18 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 1,148$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.9 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 54c | 1,012$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.47 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 48c | 964.93$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.72 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 960$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.6 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…52b2backed Over | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 662.81$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.29 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 47c | 653.87$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.55 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 547$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.44 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 46c | 423.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.78 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 38c | 355.51$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 300$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 291.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 45c | 262$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 47c | 252.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 45c | 141.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 118$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 118$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 47c | 98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 88.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 48c | 83.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 875 | 52.7%461 W · 414 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 47c | 82.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 54c | 82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 43c | 77.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 53c | 77.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 46c | 66.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 45c | 65.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Under | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 52c | 54.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 38c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed Over | 47c | 53.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 392 | 53.6%210 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e2…a4c4backed Under | 53c | 46.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…245abacked Over | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 41.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Over | 46c | 40.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 39.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 48c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…ea7abacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Under | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Under | 50c | 33.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 48c | 33.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…601ebacked Over | 47c | 29.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…7aefbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 54c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Over | 48c | 27.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 54c | 26.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 572 | 44.6%255 W · 317 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 24.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 54c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 20.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…6593backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.6wins | -0.47per pick | 54cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 55c | 19.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Under | 53c | 19.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 15.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.