MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b22c65aa897797e71007d688f2beb473eac0c71d6a7d46a80696c588cb9d911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 10,839$4,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,671.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 3,827$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 2,318$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 893.13$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.27 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Chicago White Sox | 26c | 619.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 556.24$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.53 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Chicago White Sox | 4c | 523.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 445.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.61 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 437.49$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 408.08$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Chicago White Sox | 67c | 392.48$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.09 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 354.78$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 353.51$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 347.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.6 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 189.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 186.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 168$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 153.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago White Sox | 65c | 138.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 129.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 121.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 111.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 104.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 99.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 96.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 95.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 93.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 90.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 89.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 80.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 74.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 70.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 69.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 67.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 57.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 52.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 52.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 51.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 46.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 44.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 43.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 40.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 39.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 38.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 37.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 35.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc94…a3b6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 27.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…24b8backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 25.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 25.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d14…6498backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 23.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 21.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 21.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 21.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 20.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 15.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.