TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65e2…a4c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10250%51 W · 51 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.67
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.51
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.22
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$547.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$106.48
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.47
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$34.23
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$143.83
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$46.52
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.77
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.03
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.58
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$329.4
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$175.76
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.04
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$44.62
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$805.66
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$833.79
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$428
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.35
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$77.9
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$41.38
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$91.32
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$513.88
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$132.81
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$226.19
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$43
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$226.71
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+73.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+544.1%+$135.13
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.11
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$37.29
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.38
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.84
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.84
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$75.3
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+428.8%+$85.24
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$63.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+126%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.