TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x336b…1233backed No52c17,284$8,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,918.8619252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes48c2,292$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.6726438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes48c2,113$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.527538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No52c2,001$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.5714860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes48c1,563$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.517944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No51c1,524$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.772,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Yes49c1,469$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.392958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes47c1,054$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.996033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No64c1,024$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.252,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.419823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No53c999.85$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9246464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No53c978.18$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.231,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes44c961.69$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.3126445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes45c770.35$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.692763%17 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+76.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c762.43$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e24…3053backed Yes41c715.12$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.121338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No53c700$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.3815740.8%64 W · 93 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No56c699.93$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.11,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked No51c691.41$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.624040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Yes49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3068348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3129752.6%51 W · 46 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No51c574.33$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.292,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes48c550.19$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.115140.4%61 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e32…ac88backed Yes49c508.16$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.167951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Yes35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32510931.2%34 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x152d…1b20backed No55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.998955.1%49 W · 40 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed No51c499.97$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.996426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefee…5c77backed Yes49c493.88$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.886035%21 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes49c491.84$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.849530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No53c479.9$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.442,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes49c432.67$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.669237%34 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac8…8fc4backed Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.672839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcab9…baf6backed Yes65c416.65$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.776855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c71…a716backed Yes49c412$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2127218.1%13 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.163839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed No58c396.55$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No59c361.38$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.832765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes33c359.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1919823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b12…38bfbacked Yes57c351.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.326251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43dd…5bc1backed Yes48c346.32$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick31cpaid+78.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No55c335.2$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18316633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes49c307.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3718742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes41c285.09$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.131,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes47c276.95$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.783324.2%8 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0ec…f7dabacked Yes49c263.27$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.279744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No52c259.15$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c04…03febacked Yes47c234.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.045028%14 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes47c233.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8416341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No44c225.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.322,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7716825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3314351.7%74 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3319643.4%85 W · 111 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0931…e78ebacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0810050%50 W · 50 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e28…2ef4backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.088239%32 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40cc…4c9abacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082532%8 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65e2…a4c4backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083658.3%21 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0812332.5%40 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2207…ba56backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x855c…a55cbacked Yes49c202.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x338c…aa9bbacked Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-47.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes45c199$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.452,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f4…5357backed No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3617…3041backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb0…1991backed Yes49c177.33$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.441650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd492…7469backed Yes49c173.47$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.476259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed No56c172.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4617241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb74f…7f47backed Yes49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed No54c162.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be3…6566backed Yes48c162.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.744847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes47c160.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3823544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked No53c152.84$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8143246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No51c149.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4724344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked No55c147.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.919047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc6…2136backed Yes49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.866555.4%36 W · 29 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44f3…975cbacked No10c130$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46830.9%21 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes62c129.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8942336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No56c127.2$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.412,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6513441.8%56 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb84…1e5bbacked Yes49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.453721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+138.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…23d2backed Yes34c117.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.554223.8%10 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb6…797bbacked Yes47c116.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.912420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ff6…9f32backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641625%4 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-38.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3c5…671dbacked Yes47c111.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No31c110.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4420860.6%126 W · 82 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x895c…c28cbacked No55c110$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.54535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No52c109.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.392,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a8…d351backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.383946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes38c104.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.318026.3%21 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf621…544ebacked Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.176142.6%26 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0412637.3%47 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b5…5676backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046053.3%32 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16c7…eb9cbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042119%4 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-66.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…cf98backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.049834.7%34 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2649…3f1cbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Yes54c101.29$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2915621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014550.3%73 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97fc…2a61backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+53%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5123950.2%120 W · 119 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.