Fifa International · resolved market
Rayan Cherki: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe174dfb3d34c47bf58c1bb960d8111ed893719f9fcf0e207ae52a30ccd996fcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yes | 15c | 667.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 11c | 369.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 20c | 251.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes | 13c | 236.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 80c | 216.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Yes | 19c | 190$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Yes | 13c | 118.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…0e69backed Yes | 14c | 103.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…9d9bbacked Yes | 21c | 71.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 60c | 39.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsthis page
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 2+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsYes won
- Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ shotsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 3+ shotsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsYes won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ shotsNo won
- Michael Olise: 5+ shotsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shotsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ assistsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ goalsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 2+ goalsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.