Fifa International · resolved market
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb39fe4d6f5bf92084ebcd36dd590d02ab29aa99dc39bb5475e100378491d3b33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 75c | 3,425$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.28 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 75c | 2,519$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.72 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 75c | 2,472$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.03 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Yes | 26c | 711.54$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…21c3backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…4118backed Yes | 25c | 402.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Yes | 24c | 367.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b70…9ba6backed Yes | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +227.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 74c | 338.57$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…e094backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…b568backed Yes | 24c | 198.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…8082backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…4c9abacked Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 106.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670a…d845backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…76cebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 75c | 83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…05adbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 75c | 49.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 26c | 47.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes | 25c | 47.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 73c | 42.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 75c | 26.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 74c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsthis page
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 2+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsYes won
- Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ shotsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 3+ shotsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsYes won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ shotsNo won
- Michael Olise: 5+ shotsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shotsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ assistsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 1+ goalsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 2+ goalsNo won
- Sadio Mané: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.