Michael Olise: 1+ assists

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6fd7c0dbdbda9d5211faa8025c90164def0aec2c13c8b4d1c68d28d3caad8e2

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,674 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5452…d448backed No	65c	1,445$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.55	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	66c	680.12$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.88	327	65.7%215 W · 112 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	35c	571.43$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.43	278	20.1%56 W · 222 L	-17.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes	32c	511.85$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.85	105	25.7%27 W · 78 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	69c	399.99$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.99	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	67c	383.03$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.55	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a9…7590backed Yes	35c	287.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.14	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes	35c	278.86$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.26	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c6f…5b81backed Yes	34c	180.18$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.92	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No	68c	175$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.85	169	46.2%78 W · 91 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9c9…3c2dbacked Yes	35c	173.35$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.35	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5815…36f7backed Yes	35c	173.1$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.1	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked No	67c	166.84$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.78	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	69c	149.99$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.49	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d54…d454backed Yes	33c	121$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.5	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Yes	31c	120$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.8	126	37.3%47 W · 79 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No	68c	116$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.88	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes	34c	102.24$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.48	167	47.3%79 W · 88 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	66c	89.4$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.01	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1d4d…fba6backed Yes	30c	82.26$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.26	142	39.4%56 W · 86 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes	34c	79.41$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.41	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9986…1dfbbacked Yes	34c	73.53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.53	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4c…3ca5backed Yes	34c	66.2$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.43	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9136…eec3backed Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…9024backed Yes	34c	55.71$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.71	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes	31c	51.39$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.39	333	45.3%151 W · 182 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3109…4ef4backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	120	25.8%31 W · 89 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed No	66c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	177	37.9%67 W · 110 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d1…8162backed Yes	35c	39.46$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.65	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3607…c427backed Yes	32c	37.5$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	138	33.3%46 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No	72c	37$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.53	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No	68c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	172	71.5%123 W · 49 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No	67c	29.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Michael Olise: 1+ assists

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event