TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d13…3c2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
532
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT32765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 327 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.4
Will Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$56.64
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$320
Lionel Messi: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.08
Lionel Messi: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.45
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+1,079.2%+$1,623.93
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+395.4%+$2,522.42
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,011.22
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$112.04
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$350.71
Declan Rice: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$103.05
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.29
Rayan Cherki: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.61
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,074Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+27%+$831.22
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,183.7
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,599.44
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$226.69
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,243.59
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$591.99
France to score first vs. England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$2,459.95
Rodrigo de Paul: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.53
Nico O’Reilly: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$1,084.62
Showing 25 of 327 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT7948.1%38 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Firebacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$56.5
The Hundred, Women: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$71.82
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Welsh Firebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Scotland - Who wins the toss?backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershirebacked Worcestershire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$82.62
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia - Completed match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Completed match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$111.46
Will New Zealand win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$175.62
Test Series England vs. New Zealand: England vs New Zealand - Match goes to Day 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.28
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,232.73
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Lancashirebacked Yorkshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesexbacked Surrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.8
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesex - Who wins the toss?backed Surrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$124.75
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlandsbacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,274.31
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands - Completed match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.91
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$712.08
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India - Who wins the toss?backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$261.41
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Malaysia vs Chinabacked China · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indiesbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,086Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$1,938.23
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$70.99
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?backed Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
Test Series Ireland vs New Zealand: Ireland vs New Zealand - Match goes to Day 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Richarlison: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$263.5
Arsenal FC to score first vs. Coventry City FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
Martin Odegaard: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.99
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+176.9%+$49.5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$353.69
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$387.64
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.89
Antoine Semenyo: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$296.18
Jeremy Doku: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$29.73
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+99%+$2,099.08
William Osula: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.79
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.21
Ollie Watkins: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.17
Phil Foden: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$186.29
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+161.6%+$401.08
Omar Marmoush: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.5
Jeremy Doku: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42%+$138.07
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.98
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$125.64
Nico O'Reilly: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
Jeremy Doku: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,048.05
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.03
Jeremy Doku: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.19
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+181.8%+$650.91
Will Harry Kane have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+510.9%+$527.04
Will Kylian Mbappé have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.28
Gabriel Jesus: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.84
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$260.91
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.47
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$291.43
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$791.23
Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$237.92
Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$498.54
Jamal Musiala: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$15.34
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.22
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.7
Antoine Griezmann: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$84.83
Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$937Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$306.24
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$53.24
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.17
Eberechi Eze: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+30%+$71.83
Gabriel Jesus: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$155.7
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.83
Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$84
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.79
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.38
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.83
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.92
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$944.56
Marcus Rashford: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.44
Ferran Torres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$388.84
Fermín Lopez: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$148.83
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,797Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+59%+$1,060.55
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.92
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.76
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$21.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.79
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$1,040.31
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.35
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,527.12
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.92
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13,076Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$5,297.03
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$119.51
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+102%+$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rasmus Hojlund: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$207.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.