Fifa International · resolved market
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f8234d01b07e29702e0255608ef03e974884fc4394c6ededa63fe035d7fc8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 70c | 551.82$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.11 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 50c | 452.84$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.69 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 30c | 411.63$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…29d6backed No | 50c | 403.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7026…28d2backed No | 61c | 335.21$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 31c | 318.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 29c | 286.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 25c | 248.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 68c | 208.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…23cfbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 31c | 150.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…fdf5backed Yes | 67c | 134.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…3242backed No | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf780…be2cbacked Yes | 65c | 76.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa50…ec89backed No | 19c | 67.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 40c | 64.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 28c | 64.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked No | 38c | 58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…d4fdbacked Yes | 78c | 55.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 30c | 51.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…0786backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…bf0dbacked Yes | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4793…a932backed Yes | 68c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 198 | 59.6%118 W · 80 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…c16bbacked Yes | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shotsthis page
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ assistsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adrien Rabiot: 3+ shotsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ shotsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goalsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ shotsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ shots on targetYes won
- Bradley Barcola: 2+ shotsYes won
- Brice Samba: 2+ savesNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsYes won
- Bukayo Saka: 2+ goalsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsYes won
- Declan Rice: 1+ shotsYes won
- Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ shotsNo won
- Eberechi Eze: 1+ assistsYes won
- Eberechi Eze: 1+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsNo won
- Jules Koundé: 1+ shotsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals + assistsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.