TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed No47c1,551$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.414,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes24c836.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.088127.2%22 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e52…0ec9backed Yes14c678.48$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.482070%14 W · 6 L+5.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+93.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked No8c600$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.211114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked No6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30498.2%4 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+98.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Yes12c499.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.994528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Yes14c422.42$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.832969%20 W · 9 L+7.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+130.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes13c313.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.097714.3%11 W · 66 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes13c288.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.773,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b4…a549backed Yes12c287.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.336448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Yes21c220.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.54231%13 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc36…4ef7backed Yes13c215.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.381323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes16c215.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.022,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No73c211.08$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.252,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes13c185.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8529813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…95d3backed Yes15c166.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6712236.1%44 W · 78 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No52c165$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.912,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes13c140$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No25c116$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.982,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No11c111$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.732,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7519553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ee…a64abacked Yes12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes75c55.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7613268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes47c51.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3025841.1%106 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.