TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,780 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No59c1,716$1,011 inWon+$704.6716065%104 W · 56 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a89…e37bbacked Yes68c1,030$700 inLost-$700128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick30cpaid-80.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes30c687$206 inLost-$206.19247.8%44 W · 48 L+18.5wins+0.20per pick28cpaid+50.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes67c281.37$189 inLost-$189.4123251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed No33c256.62$85 inWon+$171.628155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes31c238.45$74 inLost-$73.9277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No34c218.57$75 inWon+$143.192,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked No30c197.8$60 inWon+$137.7943460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9899…5d02backed Yes27c186$50 inLost-$50.223444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Yes40c160$64 inLost-$649351.6%48 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No60c144.18$87 inWon+$57.6739746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked No29c99.18$29 inWon+$70.4220553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf35f…605cbacked No33c81.82$27 inWon+$54.821478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+45.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No30c70$21 inWon+$492,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes60c58.72$35 inLost-$35.112,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Yes62c50$31 inLost-$3123640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4793…a932backed Yes56c50$28 inLost-$283964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed No30c40$12 inWon+$2814557.9%84 W · 61 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.