TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Elliot Anderson: 1+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,151 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9372…3b1abacked No58c954.99$555 inWon+$400.053036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes42c881.84$369 inLost-$369.391,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes38c423.06$160 inLost-$159.9423251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No63c271.03$171 inWon+$100.272,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes50c172.48$86 inLost-$86.241,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No63c147.94$93 inWon+$54.682,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No46c137.69$63 inWon+$74.7588838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ef…0cdebacked No47c133.21$63 inWon+$70.63455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed No50c115$58 inWon+$57.23458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes53c105.99$56 inLost-$55.823,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No51c104.05$53 inWon+$51.0513855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Yes36c100.5$37 inLost-$36.5923640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed No50c86.69$43 inWon+$43.372969%20 W · 9 L+7.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+130.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Yes41c49.99$20 inLost-$20.545254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed No60c40$24 inWon+$1614557.9%84 W · 61 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No63c27$17 inWon+$9.9978559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f5…d7c4backed No61c21.6$13 inWon+$8.427067.1%47 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No62c19.35$12 inWon+$7.359064.4%58 W · 32 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc3a7…3172backed No63c16.85$11 inWon+$6.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.