TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e08…e99b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Music at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT13855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$75.13
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+385.1%+$2,695.44
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.88
Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$26.61
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.09
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$141.11
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$154.73
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$141.72
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$88.11
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will Julian Alvarez score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$47.17
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$21.58
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Eberechi Eze score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$21.02
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.09
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.37
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+260.1%+$416.04
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Elliot Anderson: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$51.05
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$16.43
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$214.91
Will Vinícius Júnior record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$152.39
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$82.54
Will Robert Andrich record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$33.8
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.58
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Championbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$11.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$85.28
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$16.86
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$26.67
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$16.53
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$13.46
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.04
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.13
Will Barcelona score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$21.92
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$23.2
Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$4.81
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$47.79
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.95
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.44
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$134.7
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$340.56
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.6%+$82.62
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$695.98
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$21.06
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.95
Will Bournemouth qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.64
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.92
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.66
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.3
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.67
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+188.6%+$19.53
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$13.89
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.21
Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$120.07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$5.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+40.7%+$81.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.