TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No31c12,310$3,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,811.696761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes75c5,200$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.163652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes25c4,230$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,176.688838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes55c4,002$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.5258926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No79c4,000$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,14019345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes20c3,160$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.4232765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked No32c3,005$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.9317217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes49c2,783$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.974,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5b…529abacked Yes17c2,670$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.163938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+95.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f8…c522backed Yes56c2,310$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.52560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No28c1,939$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.1918848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f7…0312backed Yes61c1,384$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.178348.2%40 W · 43 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No41c1,197$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7640649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929a…5ab4backed No64c1,148$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.635650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed No43c1,116$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.913554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac0…55f3backed Yes34c1,067$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.134374.4%32 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+36.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d68…8239backed Yes73c1,028$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.251442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58e0…5136backed No76c959.46$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick77cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68d3…55b0backed Yes59c850.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.052142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…d3dfbacked No66c800$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes26c751.51$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.031,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ca…ba07backed Yes69c703$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.932236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a7…8ef1backed Yes56c655.99$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.641428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked No46c611.55$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.341127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes28c575.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.0413855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No39c520$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.634151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No79c495.27$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3321140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3864…2428backed Yes57c491.63$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa135…68b8backed Yes58c479.99$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.632245.3%146 W · 176 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked No34c476.62$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+85.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x127e…3dd8backed Yes77c476.14$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.831181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes17c455.46$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.996098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832b…5c91backed Yes72c420.26$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.754143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes67c410.4$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3455044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfde5…676cbacked Yes56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde7e…396bbacked Yes42c380.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.955429.6%16 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0a…643abacked Yes19c361.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.242254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+79.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes52c350$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.52441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes67c345.14$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.317339.7%29 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…fc71backed Yes59c337.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.341250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes36c336.18$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.7242737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8711162.2%69 W · 42 L+16.7wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1f35…fcdbbacked Yes57c325.05$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No38c324.91$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ad…ca63backed No44c324.58$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.824546.7%21 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No32c307.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.832,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c6…3947backed Yes71c290.39$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.515722.9%36 W · 121 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f63…6643backed Yes58c289.67$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.596100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes63c285.81$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.111,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed Yes54c275.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.763951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71d3…4e2abacked Yes74c269.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.475371.7%38 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc972…dcd9backed Yes37c258.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.533860.5%23 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No53c246.73$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.224841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a0…2746backed Yes57c244.74$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2419739.6%78 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a73…c046backed Yes40c230$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.41030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-40.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10d…8accbacked Yes74c229.87$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.871050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaac…c198backed Yes56c226$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1a…b6f3backed Yes56c216.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.072450%12 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c2…1b0dbacked Yes49c204.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.186350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6604…3d50backed Yes38c201.27$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+52.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fda…3fd7backed No78c200.51$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.163354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1e…fbb1backed Yes48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d1…b949backed Yes55c199.15$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.623716.2%6 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f15…52f1backed Yes72c195.7$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.714055%22 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed No35c195$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.026946.4%32 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b73…e9f3backed Yes30c190$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1332759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed No29c186.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.44035%14 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e04…143dbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823339.4%13 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c3f…bc25backed Yes69c177.3$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…0ae6backed Yes57c175.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.391020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6a…4c9bbacked Yes72c173.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec9…b2dabacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes60c168.76$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6947049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046b…558fbacked No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+227.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes49c157.7$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5340239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No79c153$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8924541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff5…ef39backed Yes53c151.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.593141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb480…92b9backed Yes40c150.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.091050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes21c146.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.417799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes67c143.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7823245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes68c141$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1226037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x702c…b1e6backed Yes33c140.04$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.138140.7%33 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes70c139.05$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.247244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5207…2d8ebacked Yes74c135.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x011f…cb9fbacked Yes56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.931973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes50c133.12$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5917535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd978…d50abacked Yes53c132.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.14650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No73c132.02$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7712046.7%56 W · 64 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb163…6062backed No76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d5…8ba8backed Yes37c131.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.911952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Yes45c125$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.753056.7%17 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe040…7f41backed No75c123.39$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd7…96d3backed Yes21c121.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.991546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed No48c121.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.138041.3%33 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Yes49c119.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5511834.7%41 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c8…bc64backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.052646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed No40c114.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8813556.3%76 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No27c113.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.537950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf75…099fbacked No52c112.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.969469.1%65 W · 29 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.