TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ac0…55f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT6752.2%35 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$500
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,362
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$756.33
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$103.76
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$288.68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,716Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$2,484.43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$8,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$5,264.02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,662Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$4,740.74
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30,466Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+200.3%+$61,023.94
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+160.4%+$20,897.18
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,017Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$1,995.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,863
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,009
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,639
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$484.18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13,738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,738.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$447.03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,349
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$143.15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$637
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4374.4%32 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+36.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.68
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+769.6%+$3,116.74
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$526.83
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+196.8%+$707.13
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$317.81
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$527.24
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$532.11
Will Erling Haaland score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$513.16
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$515.15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$421.28
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$263.78
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$412.08
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$313.05
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$241.51
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+41%+$410.05
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$369.86
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,487.81
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,818Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,818
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,034.43
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,337.91
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,723Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$3,844.8
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$1,894.26
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$238.44
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$284.48
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,736Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$2,046.76
Will Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69%+$105.32
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$709
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$123.88
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$211.29
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,770Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$3,880.13
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$417.52
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,313Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+45%+$1,040.12
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,862Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$1,100.93
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,116
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$208.37
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14,143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4,468.41
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$477.24
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+30%+$157.78
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,858Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+27%+$1,311.57
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.71
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$196.92
All 13 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+695.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+241.8%+$648.04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$747.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$398.33
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+232.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,759Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+232.8%+$8,750.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,422
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.