Fifa International · resolved market
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20fac1c925b7a2fed6b3b2736f47a800b4d0d4001b9deaeb7b918868eb63d081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,717,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,351,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,717,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 10,956 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b4…7320backed No | 63c | 10,195,543$6,395,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799,732 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,440,466$1,806,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633,657.63 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 37c | 1,538,114$565,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565,006.45 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 42c | 1,199,996$498,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498,998.41 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 779,665$209,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209,312.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…73c3backed Yes | 36c | 587,037$213,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213,749.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 59c | 524,981$310,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214,867.17 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 29c | 522,528$150,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,466.78 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 62c | 505,207$312,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,739.36 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 38c | 483,176$184,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,710.12 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…3b90backed Yes | 37c | 434,023$161,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,673.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…4df2backed No | 59c | 394,998$232,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,349.34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 31c | 390,000$121,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,224.98 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 58c | 360,243$208,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,302.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 41c | 330,000$133,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,909.73 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Yes | 41c | 316,566$128,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,209.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3f…8517backed No | 63c | 316,505$197,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,555.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…bb60backed Yes | 22c | 310,000$68,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,602.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 21c | 305,501$64,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,920.87 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 36c | 274,999$97,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,774.72 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Yes | 39c | 251,130$98,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,973.19 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked No | 58c | 238,076$138,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,992.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…6631backed Yes | 41c | 236,750$96,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,475.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 41c | 236,683$98,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,024.13 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 76c | 216,352$163,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,357.79 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 27c | 202,693$55,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,293.22 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…8a06backed No | 60c | 200,000$119,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,000 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 2c | 197,437$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.06 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked Yes | 40c | 192,335$75,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,972.33 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 77c | 190,344$147,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,227.92 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed No | 79c | 182,648$144,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,719.29 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 32c | 174,226$56,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,190.94 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked No | 59c | 171,695$100,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,824.09 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 162,561$47,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,279.26 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes | 37c | 162,162$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 60c | 159,167$94,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,462.45 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 35c | 158,372$54,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,949.13 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 1c | 155,843$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.71 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…3b38backed No | 58c | 155,463$90,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,294.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 40c | 150,000$60,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,374.96 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Yes | 41c | 145,455$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…9d1dbacked Yes | 3c | 140,000$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed Yes | 37c | 133,135$48,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,712.64 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yes | 40c | 125,170$49,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,442.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 58c | 122,550$71,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,471 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 58c | 117,993$68,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,349.52 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 38c | 114,386$43,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,472.33 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Yes | 1c | 112,610$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.23 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 41c | 108,888$44,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,394.03 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes | 2c | 103,383$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.95 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 60c | 100,000$59,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,250 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 4c | 100,000$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.65 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed Yes | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,999.92 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 72c | 99,710$71,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,837.27 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…5179backed Yes | 41c | 99,290$40,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,696.13 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…7842backed No | 57c | 95,166$54,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,921.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 95,000$55,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,019.59 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 76c | 85,980$65,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,950.19 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…035abacked Yes | 37c | 85,065$31,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,686.6 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked No | 59c | 82,175$48,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,486.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked No | 59c | 79,865$46,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,944.12 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 39c | 79,209$30,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,690.56 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af7…4c89backed Yes | 41c | 75,284$31,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,066.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 58c | 72,957$42,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,808.27 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…7d21backed Yes | 1c | 72,692$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.42 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 59c | 71,571$42,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,165.2 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 43c | 70,828$30,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,104.06 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 41c | 70,555$28,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,750.99 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 37c | 70,277$26,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,213.38 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes | 42c | 70,000$29,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,049.94 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…f0b5backed Yes | 38c | 67,217$25,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,665.27 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 4c | 65,576$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…6eecbacked Yes | 3c | 65,398$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +211.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Yes | 2c | 64,965$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…df79backed Yes | 38c | 63,775$24,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,074.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 19c | 63,092$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,750.39 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 36c | 61,566$21,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,985.68 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed Yes | 38c | 60,000$22,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,875 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes | 38c | 60,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,499.99 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 59c | 59,999$35,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,524.71 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 57c | 59,998$34,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,799.19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked No | 62c | 59,413$36,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,429 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…e926backed Yes | 37c | 58,865$21,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,485.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 41c | 58,385$23,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,937.89 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 66c | 57,551$37,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,608.92 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 39c | 57,009$22,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,186.1 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Yes | 38c | 56,823$21,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,734.8 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…6adcbacked Yes | 19c | 56,340$10,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,723.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed No | 64c | 56,000$35,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,300 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 41c | 55,555$22,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,777.45 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Yes | 37c | 54,890$20,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,487.7 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 37c | 54,422$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…33febacked Yes | 38c | 53,333$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 2c | 53,012$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.25 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…cf37backed Yes | 43c | 52,750$22,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,682.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 38c | 52,038$19,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,814 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…e13ebacked Yes | 38c | 51,572$19,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,468.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…a381backed Yes | 24c | 50,774$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 34c | 50,000$16,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,775 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…1e20backed Yes | 41c | 50,000$20,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,249.93 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?this page
- Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?No won
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.