Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa23528a8f30c7566c04c7bcd513440dc2d7645ae383f27a876dec5dc4881282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,798,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,380,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,798,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,828 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Yes | 29c | 1,404,595$413,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990,756.66 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 70c | 671,984$468,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468,690.74 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 614,934$126,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,955.39 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Yes | 30c | 300,000$90,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209,249.76 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed No | 71c | 299,999$212,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212,999.34 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 33c | 294,549$98,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195,982.62 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 10c | 291,885$29,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,941.64 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed No | 66c | 241,075$159,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,184.95 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…c804backed Yes | 30c | 228,882$69,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,595.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 70c | 220,156$155,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,009 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954d…6f01backed Yes | 29c | 208,821$61,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,740.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 35c | 203,635$71,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,813.02 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 30c | 200,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 179,474$115,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,608.29 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 53c | 172,868$90,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,882.95 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…396dbacked Yes | 30c | 150,000$44,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,749.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…d5e4backed Yes | 30c | 142,293$43,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,249.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 42c | 129,517$54,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,341.02 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…8615backed No | 70c | 126,324$88,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,805.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 79c | 103,496$81,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,986.51 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 9c | 103,185$9,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,349.35 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes | 30c | 100,000$29,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,250 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed No | 11c | 97,074$10,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,628.96 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 38c | 92,642$34,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,828.89 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 3c | 92,192$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.7 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 70c | 86,645$60,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,885.08 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 70c | 81,500$57,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,185.53 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 32c | 75,539$24,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,044.19 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 45c | 72,265$32,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,700.09 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…2084backed No | 71c | 70,423$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed No | 47c | 63,245$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 52c | 62,000$32,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,984.96 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…85efbacked Yes | 55c | 61,420$33,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,459.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 32c | 61,102$19,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,469.74 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 29c | 59,646$17,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,056.18 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Yes | 45c | 58,587$26,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,199.7 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 30c | 52,736$15,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,742.57 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 43c | 52,085$22,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,154.02 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 34c | 51,685$17,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,737.82 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed No | 70c | 51,623$36,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,004.44 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Yes | 29c | 50,924$14,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,934.26 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 71c | 50,234$35,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,639.22 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked No | 70c | 50,000$34,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,875 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 44,004$30,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,939.71 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed No | 49c | 40,000$19,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,399.99 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 48c | 36,405$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…0ad9backed No | 70c | 36,352$25,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,446.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 71c | 36,000$25,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,419.11 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Yes | 31c | 35,718$11,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,685.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 71c | 35,509$25,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,152.49 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 43c | 34,172$14,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,579.98 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 30c | 33,058$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,057.85 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 30,350$21,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,356.75 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…328abacked Yes | 57c | 30,000$16,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,001.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 30c | 30,000$8,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,075 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 66c | 28,420$18,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,688.03 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Yes | 55c | 26,662$14,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,940.31 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 24c | 25,701$6,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.71 | 158 | 46.2%73 W · 85 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked No | 8c | 25,437$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.12 | 197 | 38.1%75 W · 122 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 66c | 24,748$16,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,322.21 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 36c | 24,685$8,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,843.34 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 63c | 24,488$15,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,023.71 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 33c | 24,136$7,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,215.58 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 29c | 23,900$7,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,883.95 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…489fbacked No | 71c | 23,204$16,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,474.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked No | 32c | 23,199$7,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,501.04 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 8c | 21,214$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.95 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 38c | 20,429$7,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,844.86 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 29c | 20,007$5,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,104.85 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked No | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.96 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc8…8b0bbacked Yes | 30c | 19,608$5,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,823.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 19,238$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.45 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 55c | 18,265$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,264.84 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…7364backed No | 70c | 18,252$12,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,821.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a4…856ebacked No | 12c | 18,170$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.55 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 29c | 17,031$4,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,091.9 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed No | 60c | 16,808$10,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,155 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 55c | 16,422$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,421.84 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 30c | 16,305$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,413.74 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…02abbacked Yes | 30c | 16,248$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,332.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked No | 31c | 16,112$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.14 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…cb14backed No | 39c | 16,004$6,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,317.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 30c | 15,878$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,074.62 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed No | 70c | 15,500$10,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,849.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked No | 1c | 15,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…c956backed Yes | 77c | 14,802$11,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.54 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Yes | 30c | 14,662$4,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,336.36 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 5c | 14,583$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.23 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 1c | 14,568$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.1 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…3a8abacked No | 70c | 14,037$9,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,860.99 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 71c | 13,725$9,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,705.69 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 69c | 13,010$8,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.3 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed No | 71c | 12,800$9,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,056 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 31c | 12,183$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,433.03 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Yes | 30c | 11,726$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,237.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…c1adbacked Yes | 55c | 11,424$6,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,162.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 5c | 11,407$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.3 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 71c | 11,367$8,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,042 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?this page
- Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?No won
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.