World Politics · resolved market
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65bb9abb6f004f3cffa792bea6ea8f3ccb9067a308627ae159cada2a7291c5c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,612,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,612,234 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 962 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 72c | 81,190$58,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,624.05 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…fec2backed Yes | 62c | 38,265$23,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,540.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…03abbacked No | 38c | 38,265$14,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,540.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 80c | 16,555$13,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed Yes | 72c | 13,755$9,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.26 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb0…591fbacked Yes | 36c | 13,610$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,710.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 78c | 13,329$10,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.21 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…296bbacked No | 5c | 8,349$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…0a76backed Yes | 72c | 8,000$5,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.68 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…74bcbacked Yes | 72c | 7,717$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 21c | 7,529$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.94 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 69c | 7,493$5,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.06 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…cadabacked Yes | 66c | 7,311$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…97e7backed No | 64c | 7,100$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed Yes | 73c | 6,833$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…4cabbacked No | 64c | 6,510$4,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,166.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked No | 1c | 6,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 73c | 5,768$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.57 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…9c29backed Yes | 69c | 5,711$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +415.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 13c | 5,150$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.63 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 5,107$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.76 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Yes | 75c | 5,057$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 32c | 4,825$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.9 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…cb5fbacked Yes | 70c | 4,779$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.38 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…9ce1backed Yes | 68c | 4,582$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 67c | 4,297$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.02 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 73c | 4,292$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.22 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2f95backed Yes | 72c | 4,248$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +884.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…5608backed Yes | 77c | 4,000$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 70c | 3,782$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.49 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 64c | 3,714$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.01 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…4968backed Yes | 72c | 3,628$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 77c | 3,464$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.8 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 68c | 3,427$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 3,300$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3b…ed7dbacked No | 9c | 3,273$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…ac5dbacked No | 38c | 3,241$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…14a1backed Yes | 58c | 3,194$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…84f7backed No | 19c | 3,112$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…e4ffbacked Yes | 68c | 2,935$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 76c | 2,837$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.25 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…6b87backed Yes | 75c | 2,787$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked No | 20c | 2,779$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.57 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 14c | 2,776$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.7 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…6f7dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,747$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 74c | 2,678$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…3825backed Yes | 80c | 2,639$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed Yes | 68c | 2,612$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.09 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…ed56backed Yes | 70c | 2,570$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 71c | 2,551$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Yes | 79c | 2,533$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 75c | 2,514$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.34 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…1846backed Yes | 69c | 2,507$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 28c | 2,492$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.94 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…8caebacked Yes | 78c | 2,451$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…3572backed Yes | 74c | 2,420$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed No | 8c | 2,405$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…17c6backed Yes | 76c | 2,345$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 33c | 2,314$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.57 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 67c | 2,276$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.16 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes | 70c | 2,259$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.26 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 23c | 2,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed Yes | 72c | 1,951$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…db87backed Yes | 52c | 1,936$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…9621backed Yes | 69c | 1,933$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 1,903$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed Yes | 75c | 1,888$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 69c | 1,865$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.99 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed Yes | 77c | 1,800$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 21c | 1,800$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,787$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…e735backed No | 33c | 1,762$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 45c | 1,738$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.23 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda4…3b8dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,708$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes | 77c | 1,700$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 64c | 1,652$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.44 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…80ebbacked Yes | 69c | 1,650$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +219.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…5f9ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,642$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…fbadbacked Yes | 70c | 1,637$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6c42backed Yes | 75c | 1,635$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…12ecbacked Yes | 70c | 1,625$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 69c | 1,584$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 30c | 1,530$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 77c | 1,520$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.52 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d0…bf81backed Yes | 69c | 1,510$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 1c | 1,481$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…045abacked Yes | 78c | 1,466$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b0…78f7backed Yes | 69c | 1,454$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c7…0dc1backed Yes | 70c | 1,436$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb661…aa83backed Yes | 63c | 1,423$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a7…7916backed No | 24c | 1,413$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 72c | 1,390$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.03 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa833…8e13backed Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,350$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 68c | 1,324$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.52 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 71c | 1,323$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.63 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc852…042ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,313$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?this page
- Will David Belliard win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?No won
- Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.