TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55f3…cada

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$801.97
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.68
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$318.49
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.8
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$980
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,915Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29%+$555.1
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$1,294.2
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$814
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$100.8
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$905Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$764.6
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$419.94
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$248.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+172%+$3,699.47
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,258.53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,820Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$2,490.57
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.71
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,802Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+141.2%+$2,543.61
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$638.73
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$388.73
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,239.03
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,731Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$2,230.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 322?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,531Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+43.6%+$667.01
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$409.61
Will Trump attend UFC 318?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$371.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.82
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,050
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$988.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.49
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25.7%+$199.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.