UFC · resolved market
Will Trump attend UFC 322?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4776d36d854e7696f7d24514d9b65577aff838734dc64709b96f07f679c49eb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x831e…f137backed Yes | 2c | 11,431$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes | 2c | 8,499$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 2c | 6,555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 26c | 5,560$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e57…51cfbacked Yes | 43c | 5,273$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 73c | 4,981$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69e…5f07backed Yes | 1c | 3,361$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes | 22c | 2,955$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.57 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 21c | 2,913$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.82 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 75c | 2,804$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf373…cd77backed Yes | 3c | 2,470$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,365$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…cadabacked No | 70c | 2,198$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa808…07b0backed Yes | 5c | 2,183$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 2c | 1,850$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…5f58backed Yes | 31c | 1,664$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 62c | 1,531$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 61c | 1,395$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.11 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c1…fa46backed Yes | 5c | 1,276$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…d07cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,209$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…b038backed Yes | 37c | 1,100$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…ea44backed Yes | 9c | 1,030$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,023$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked No | 67c | 899.85$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…70eabacked Yes | 2c | 887.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 1c | 793$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed No | 63c | 700$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 59c | 697.78$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.71 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…0a2dbacked Yes | 3c | 672.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 653.68$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 560.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Yes | 31c | 550$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…d771backed Yes | 25c | 545$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 62c | 541.1$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 4c | 517.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 79c | 500$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…8864backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Yes | 4c | 476.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde34…fd1cbacked Yes | 15c | 433.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71f…faa0backed Yes | 41c | 414.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed No | 49c | 395.09$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.07 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 15c | 378.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…056fbacked No | 78c | 372.18$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85da…13b9backed Yes | 39c | 345$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…08e8backed Yes | 6c | 344.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…b342backed Yes | 18c | 327.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 77c | 324.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…56f8backed Yes | 40c | 274.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4fafbacked Yes | 26c | 262.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 15c | 234$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4f…c055backed No | 63c | 227.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 213.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…d672backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…d98bbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 22c | 190$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked No | 73c | 180.42$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 32c | 176$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…fc0cbacked Yes | 40c | 159.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 152$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…aa41backed Yes | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…8686backed No | 68c | 147.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…abc6backed Yes | 38c | 147$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 33c | 145.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505b…720fbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb292…dcb7backed No | 67c | 142.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…21f5backed Yes | 9c | 136.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 136$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f5…d3fcbacked Yes | 12c | 134.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe546…9e59backed Yes | 29c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf1…7102backed Yes | 29c | 117.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…5eaabacked Yes | 40c | 116.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…869abacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Yes | 17c | 95.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 62c | 92.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…77b1backed Yes | 33c | 90.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…d98fbacked Yes | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…e58cbacked No | 69c | 86.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…a224backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…a000backed No | 63c | 78.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…a4f1backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 41c | 62.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…af65backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf667…6319backed No | 74c | 54.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked No | 68c | 51.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.