TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90bf…99eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
286
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,077.13
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$2,285
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.68
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.12
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$79.06
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.29
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.61
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.65
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$47.43
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.01
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$28.46
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+673.6%+$5,778.21
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+161.5%+$25.32
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$63.74
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$179.55
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.21
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.89
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$48.02
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$97.64
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$34.34
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$113.43
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.75
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+133%+$27.96
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT7222.2%16 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.69
Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,359Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+34%+$802.64
Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.29
Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.88
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.91
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.24
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.26
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.83
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.93
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.54
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.91
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.29
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$740.9
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.49
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,585.94
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.54
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$662.73
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$40.98
Will "Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.21
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$675.92
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.02
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.34
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+172%+$998.35
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$57.36
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-68.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,409.78
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,245.73
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$3,249.79
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,061.09
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,472.39
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,890.23
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,431.8
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,395.52
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,394.85
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,192.11
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.25
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.4
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,342.49
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.68
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.92
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$36.8
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,509.33
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.41
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,580.06
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+80.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenierbacked Hugo Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$4,604.23
US Open, Qualification ATP: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Tom Gentzschbacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.23
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.77
US Open, Qualification WTA: Carson Branstine vs Clervie Ngounouebacked Carson Branstine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$355.23
US Open, Qualification ATP: Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,232.22
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$167.75
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,834Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$1,947.09
US Open, Qualification ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$56.35
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$178.06
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Aliona Faleibacked Elena Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$33.65
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$937.08
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs En-Shuo Liangbacked En-Shuo Liang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Quinn Vandecasteele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$106.2
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.37
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Caroline Werner vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Caroline Werner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.86
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Sebastian Gorzny vs Marc Polmansbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Li Tu vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.84
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$192.5
National Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+464.7%+$262.56
National Bank Open: Xinyu Wang vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+374.7%+$267.88
Rotterdam Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.2%+$19.53
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,641.24
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-72%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,658.95
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$8,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,733.92
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.71
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,182.51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,711Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,710.72
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.97
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$155.93
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$610.33
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,642.91
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$6,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$6,213.71
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$765.67
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+145%+$108.3
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$8
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.22
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.28
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+62.9%+$259.94
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.82
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$99.18
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,378.5
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.76
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.3
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$127.92
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.72
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$27.58
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.77
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.56
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.52
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$70.31
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080.24
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$735.56
Will Elon Musk attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.4
Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$744.71
Will Lionel Messi attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$638.16
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45%+$372.33
Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.11
Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$571.19
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,965Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+64%+$1,257.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$68.96
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,429.06
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$712.72
Will Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$22.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 322?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,094Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.9%+$709.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$210.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.