Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Aliona Falei
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x676781d8388eae564b48b9f1cdb3bd19553080eb8b046ab5d9ebf1f3329e1408
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Pridankinaof Elena Pridankina, Aliona Falei
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aliona Falei | 1c | 9,941$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Elena Pridankina | 52c | 8,661$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.85 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aliona Falei | 7c | 5,778$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…a793backed Aliona Falei | 50c | 4,099$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Aliona Falei | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elena Pridankina | 48c | 2,971$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Aliona Falei | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Aliona Falei | 2c | 842.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aliona Falei | 12c | 728.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elena Pridankina | 51c | 680$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Elena Pridankina | 54c | 624.7$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.87 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Aliona Falei | 51c | 473.47$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Elena Pridankina | 51c | 445.96$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Aliona Falei | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Elena Pridankina | 50c | 347.66$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Aliona Falei | 29c | 336.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Aliona Falei | 50c | 236.77$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aliona Falei | 48c | 223$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Elena Pridankina | 50c | 208.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Elena Pridankina | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Aliona Falei | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Elena Pridankina | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Elena Pridankina | 51c | 188.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Elena Pridankina | 50c | 137.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Elena Pridankina | 45c | 100.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Aliona Falei | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Aliona Falei | 37c | 91.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Aliona Falei | 49c | 91.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Elena Pridankina | 51c | 79.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…fbb3backed Elena Pridankina | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Elena Pridankina | 51c | 75.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Elena Pridankina | 46c | 74.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aliona Falei | 49c | 73.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Elena Pridankina | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Elena Pridankina | 46c | 61.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Elena Pridankina | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Aliona Falei | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Aliona Falei | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Elena Pridankina | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Aliona Falei | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b5…1bd4backed Elena Pridankina | 51c | 49.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elena Pridankina | 61c | 48.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Elena Pridankina | 73c | 43.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Elena Pridankina | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aliona Falei | 48c | 41.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Aliona Falei | 42c | 40.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Aliona Falei | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Aliona Falei | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Elena Pridankina | 51c | 38.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Elena Pridankina | 66c | 35.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…fc38backed Elena Pridankina | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Aliona Falei | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Elena Pridankina | 50c | 27.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Elena Pridankina | 50c | 27.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Elena Pridankina | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…6de2backed Elena Pridankina | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Elena Pridankina | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0035backed Aliona Falei | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6022…9ec8backed Elena Pridankina | 72c | 17.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Elena Pridankina | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.