TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5056…fbb3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT6838.2%26 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Augsburg: Petr Brunclik vs Daniel Masurbacked Daniel Masur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$119.38
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenzabacked Luca Potenza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Roehampton 2: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Emile Huddbacked Fabrizio Andaloro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$164.94
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Felix Gillbacked Felix Gill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.97
Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$50.43
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.1
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$50.48
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broadybacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$61.36
Winston-Salem Open: Quinn Vandecasteele vs James Duckworthbacked Quinn Vandecasteele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Winston-Salem Open: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$75.55
US Open, Qualification ATP: Mark Lajal vs Jordan Leebacked Jordan Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$169.5
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Aliona Faleibacked Elena Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferrobacked Rebecca Marino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$78.75
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$66.57
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+122.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.95
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+164.3%+$39.42
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+115%+$58.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.