TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Saints vs. Rams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ramsof Saints, Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$320,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$350,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d92…8676backed Rams72c83,677$60,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,250.693737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Saints33c46,429$15,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,391.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Saints14c40,258$5,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,517.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d90…bcd6backed Saints12c31,868$3,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Saints51c31,577$16,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,132.072441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Rams47c21,691$10,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,551.299554.7%52 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Rams57c17,044$9,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,361.197552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Saints29c15,921$4,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,621.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Saints25c10,170$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rams70c9,232$6,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.8522550.7%114 W · 111 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Saints53c6,698$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5503655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Saints27c5,651$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Saints47c2,993$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Saints53c2,902$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.0621254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Rams67c2,844$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.054052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Rams52c2,800$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3462850%14 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Rams49c2,491$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.4917350.9%88 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rams64c2,264$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.215066%33 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Saints6c2,167$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+140.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Saints47c2,053$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1602…fbb0backed Rams52c1,932$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.81650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Saints62c1,924$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Rams53c1,881$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.762944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Saints25c1,861$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Rams41c1,846$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.413154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Saints47c1,760$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Saints60c1,658$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Saints52c1,545$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.529145.1%41 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Saints52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.994266.7%28 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rams39c1,416$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.5839447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Saints55c1,232$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.61250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rams70c1,226$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.8431543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Rams67c952.58$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.291471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb3…4091backed Rams48c830.46$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.844856.3%27 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe857…ec19backed Saints13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Saints53c741.77$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.146251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Rams78c694.55$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7510858.3%63 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Rams72c683$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9410455.8%58 W · 46 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Rams48c678.75$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.952231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Rams49c635$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.851947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…ec96backed Saints47c615.87$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Saints51c588.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Saints52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Rams38c571.51$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.2210353.4%55 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Rams59c498.85$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.452839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Saints56c482.22$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6917648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Rams74c440.22$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.016955.1%38 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Rams58c401.72$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Saints52c362.78$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6514349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rams70c360$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1431056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Rams65c358$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.33040%12 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Rams67c352.06$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.111952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Rams53c309$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.09560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+101.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Rams52c293.58$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Rams50c275.89$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+90.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a3…5532backed Saints48c275.84$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+50.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Rams79c275.75$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Saints16c265$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.712853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rams71c263.63$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.125244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Rams75c255$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9912151.2%62 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rams48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rams39c224$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6413756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b2…14c2backed Rams51c211.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Saints41c209.22$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.721050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Saints53c204.81$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.551546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Saints20c184.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.472634.6%9 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f7…4f7cbacked Saints30c182.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Saints32c177.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.982572%18 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Saints58c173.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.923857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed Rams48c168.75$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Rams48c166.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Rams54c163.44$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.189853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Rams48c155$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5056…fbb3backed Rams53c142.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+122.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68bf…2e66backed Rams74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Saints52c134.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.27259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Saints52c132.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.694148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed Rams77c130.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Rams48c123.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.271553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Saints16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22556%14 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eea…f37cbacked Rams48c114.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.585257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Rams51c113.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Saints53c104.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.146556.9%37 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Rams39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0e1…81d5backed Rams40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607744.2%34 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Rams46c98.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Saints53c95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3522349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Saints53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed Saints42c88.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Saints52c85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8384…3953backed Rams53c84.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Rams42c82.35$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.768156.8%46 W · 35 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Rams56c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Rams52c78.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.17955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Saints55c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.253138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Saints56c71.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.861637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Rams78c68.91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.933066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rams48c67.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.237350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51d…4aaebacked Rams53c67.11$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb78…c090backed Rams48c67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.