Tennis · resolved market
Winston-Salem Open: Quinn Vandecasteele vs James Duckworth
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4585d42c76dd35f423cf2534203ae4b9155e47b4471d725e7f964bf16829a3fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Duckworthof Quinn Vandecasteele, James Duckworth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed James Duckworth | 76c | 3,979$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.84 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed James Duckworth | 79c | 3,766$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed James Duckworth | 74c | 2,763$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.54 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked James Duckworth | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed James Duckworth | 75c | 2,666$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.5 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 22c | 2,463$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.41 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 25c | 2,340$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.5 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked James Duckworth | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 25c | 1,250$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 13c | 862$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 9c | 851.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 25c | 745.75$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.44 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 23c | 564.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 25c | 532.72$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed James Duckworth | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 26c | 346$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…a3a9backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 18c | 327.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed James Duckworth | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 26c | 255$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed James Duckworth | 75c | 242.06$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked James Duckworth | 75c | 231.47$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 11c | 221.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed James Duckworth | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed James Duckworth | 75c | 159.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed James Duckworth | 74c | 153.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 18c | 149.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed James Duckworth | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked James Duckworth | 76c | 114$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 26c | 108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…fbb3backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 24c | 100.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…8dc9backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 26c | 90.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 26c | 90.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 306 | 48.4%148 W · 158 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 24c | 83.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed James Duckworth | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed James Duckworth | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 24c | 75.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed James Duckworth | 75c | 72.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 17c | 67.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 26c | 66.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed James Duckworth | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed James Duckworth | 80c | 61.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked James Duckworth | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed James Duckworth | 73c | 48.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed James Duckworth | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 25c | 42.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5af…fcc7backed James Duckworth | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed James Duckworth | 76c | 33.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked James Duckworth | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…85d6backed James Duckworth | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed James Duckworth | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 257 | 68.9%177 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked James Duckworth | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed James Duckworth | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 343 | 59.5%204 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed James Duckworth | 75c | 21.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…3fcebacked James Duckworth | 76c | 20.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed James Duckworth | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed James Duckworth | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Winston-Salem Open: Quinn Vandecasteele vs James Duckworththis page
- Set 1 Winner: Vandecasteele vs DuckworthDuckworth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.