MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9877da04be5d3aecdd51eb30537ff5b5070fd14acfb69feaa0be1d22fb8c0046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $517,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 103,806$55,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,485.17 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 101,054$51,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,976.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 74,469$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 35,462$17,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,324.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 21,331$10,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,071.22 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 14,454$6,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 10,501$5,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,283.97 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…4a1dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 8,579$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.1 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 5,002$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.19 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 4,678$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.84 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 4,562$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.52 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 3,927$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.71 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 3,100$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…9a05backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 2,728$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.22 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 2,371$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.16 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 2,248$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.9 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 2,057$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.09 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,997$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.47 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,870$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,828$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.12 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,810$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,802$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.92 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,762$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.05 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,459$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.58 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,374$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.74 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,240$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.41 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 956.81$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.27 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 744.67$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.41 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 666$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 622.95$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.11 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 554.33$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 534$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.64 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 435$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.45 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 434$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 434$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.98 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…6527backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 416.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.77 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 405.45$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.46 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 392$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…3193backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 389.56$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 388$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…4245backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 366.43$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.24 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 356.63$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 335.01$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.26 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 312.73$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 303.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 293$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 291.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 277.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39ab…4c27backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 262$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 258.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 235$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 232.78$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 230$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 219$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 216.16$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 211$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 210.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 200.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…1582backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 197.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 197.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 190.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 168.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 167.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 163.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 161.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 156.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 147.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 3.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.