TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe6c…a2c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$139.75
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winnerbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$179.08
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.1
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$254
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.43
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.59
Counter-Strike: Nordic Partners Gaming vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$135.92
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$225.09
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$175.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$276.99
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group Dbacked RED Canids Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$263.74
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$379.68
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$90.97
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$167.7
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$251.02
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs WBT (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$306.46
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In group Cbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$416
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.89
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$194.04
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.61
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$150.55
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$60.4
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.1
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.68
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.4
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$243.57
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.69
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$580.66
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$230.59
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$271.62
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$227.91
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.17
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.68
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.22
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$67.98
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$394.12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$365.77
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$256.43
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$455.71
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$321.86
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$110.46
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$208.56
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.01
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$112.32
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.18
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$82.96
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.64
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$132.94
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$174.33
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$155.17
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.86
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.48
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$302.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Patriotsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Jaguars vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.