TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Dallas Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x684b…8409backed Golden State Valkyries53c48,879$25,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,112.039245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings47c30,805$14,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,467.951,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Golden State Valkyries53c9,997$5,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,720.88988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+69.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Dallas Wings47c8,530$4,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.11963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Dallas Wings47c8,336$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9181533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Dallas Wings47c7,090$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.4613048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Golden State Valkyries53c6,233$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.423444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Golden State Valkyries53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3507950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Golden State Valkyries53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35010338.8%40 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings47c4,621$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.6389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Dallas Wings47c4,491$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.717549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dallas Wings47c3,538$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.6713048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Dallas Wings48c2,597$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.3638645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Dallas Wings48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2206…49d6backed Golden State Valkyries55c2,491$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Golden State Valkyries53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.998348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Dallas Wings47c1,900$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.985341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings32c1,880$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.111,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Golden State Valkyries53c1,795$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.6513746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Golden State Valkyries53c1,607$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.629445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Dallas Wings47c1,253$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.9517946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Dallas Wings47c1,127$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.4538650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Golden State Valkyries56c1,074$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Dallas Wings47c1,036$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.099140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb39b…9826backed Dallas Wings48c1,027$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4932339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4cf…99a6backed Golden State Valkyries53c849.06$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.061376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+56.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43b4…7e4abacked Golden State Valkyries52c767.31$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Golden State Valkyries53c713.38$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.2923746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dallas Wings47c712.39$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9532540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries51c707.84$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.8483748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Dallas Wings47c638.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.988743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings48c592.25$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2428647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfe…9483backed Dallas Wings46c555.96$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.742045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries52c508.56$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Dallas Wings46c429.36$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.317241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe6c…a2c3backed Dallas Wings50c417.38$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Dallas Wings48c319.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.66544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Dallas Wings47c317$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2910050%50 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaad1…172ebacked Golden State Valkyries54c305.23$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.231764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Golden State Valkyries54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Dallas Wings47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14132750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Dallas Wings47c280.87$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0113649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Dallas Wings46c275.62$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8230734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings45c256$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.292248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Dallas Wings47c217.18$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.979345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Dallas Wings48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8411552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a13…0512backed Golden State Valkyries54c203.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.73345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Dallas Wings48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969251.1%47 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Golden State Valkyries54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1911353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf698…a7e7backed Golden State Valkyries54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f7…3ea6backed Dallas Wings46c178$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Dallas Wings46c159.4$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4574942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Dallas Wings46c152$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9221150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Dallas Wings45c103.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7741145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1e…20aebacked Golden State Valkyries54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Golden State Valkyries54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f0…0c9fbacked Golden State Valkyries52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Golden State Valkyries54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Dallas Wings31c61.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.968962.9%56 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Dallas Wings47c60.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8314450%72 W · 72 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Golden State Valkyries53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.622967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Golden State Valkyries53c56.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4732948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…6198backed Golden State Valkyries52c51.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.922055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Dallas Wings28c50.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2915453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…235cbacked Golden State Valkyries49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Dallas Wings47c48.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5917343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Dallas Wings30c47.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3824656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfa0…a77bbacked Golden State Valkyries53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Dallas Wings46c44.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.548138.3%31 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df8…4e03backed Dallas Wings46c43.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-72%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Golden State Valkyries52c42.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.056946.4%32 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Dallas Wings48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Golden State Valkyries53c41.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x492a…46aebacked Dallas Wings47c39.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.751643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Golden State Valkyries53c38.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.384841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Golden State Valkyries52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a0…a393backed Dallas Wings49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Dallas Wings49c36.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.66254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Dallas Wings47c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.572343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Dallas Wings42c28.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Dallas Wings48c22.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.726054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcac7…37d8backed Golden State Valkyries55c19.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.