TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcac7…37d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT8240.2%33 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+233.7%+$362.23
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.68
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$390.41
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$20.18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$234.27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$905Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$480.31
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.87
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+80%+$23.99
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$12.14
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$78.79
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.86
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5174.5%38 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.14
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonaldbacked Cezar Cretu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.31
Kingston 2: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Andrew Fentybacked Andrew Fenty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.21
US Open, Qualification ATP: Juan Carlos Prado vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.8
Philadelphia: Veronika Erjavec vs Julia Grabherbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.45
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.03
ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Sergio Planella Hernandez vs Mario Mansilla Diezbacked Sergio Planella Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Augsburg: Federico Iannaccone vs Oleksii Krutykhbacked Oleksii Krutykh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.3
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.58
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.16
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Luca Powbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.32
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$32.83
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$9.48
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.49
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.72
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.48
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.04
Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.91
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.5
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.42
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.21
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.44
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.08
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.95
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.34
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.74
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.82
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.52
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$26.1
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.69
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.64
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.43
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.67
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.74
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.45
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.68
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.35
Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.74
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.22
Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Cristian Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$3.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.91
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.