Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34335ed66895925403a81734b08e6972ef756874721c1d9483f323332fe378fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9acc…9f44backed Over | 55c | 7,078$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 4,871$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.99 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 2,564$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.51 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Over | 53c | 1,441$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 42c | 1,404$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.52 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 54c | 1,298$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.06 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 251 | 41%103 W · 148 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 46c | 1,154$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.68 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 934.08$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.95 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Over | 51c | 850$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 818.92$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.8 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 770.01$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.3 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 43c | 561.09$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.27 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 538.32$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.88 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 537.66$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…dbd6backed Over | 49c | 512.45$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 76c | 494$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 55c | 475.51$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.4 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 58c | 403.62$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.52 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 76c | 328.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +13.7wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 316.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 278.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.62 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 270.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 58c | 247$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 227.56$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 42c | 218.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…6056backed Under | 48c | 209.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 76c | 196.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 47c | 185.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 293 | 37.5%110 W · 183 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 54c | 175.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 158.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over | 76c | 131.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 76c | 126.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 48c | 117.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 58c | 89.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 70c | 87.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 251 | 49.4%124 W · 127 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 45c | 70.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 47c | 48.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 44c | 42.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…c9febacked Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Over | 55c | 29.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Over | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 72c | 27.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 45c | 25.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 44c | 23.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 62c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5this page
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: SK Brann O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: Team to AdvanceSK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.