Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a8dd9305cad0bfcad8aa0f3b0900aa48fa7de4de6bfbde736fa5f705430d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9acc…9f44backed Over | 34c | 2,205$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 67c | 782.42$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.35 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 66c | 526.46$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.47 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 73c | 409.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 17c | 381.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.32 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 330.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.58 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 248.73$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.96 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Under | 53c | 206.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 68c | 188.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 15c | 182.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.43 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 148.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 26c | 126.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 51c | 118$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 53c | 101.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 27c | 89.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 83.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 186 | 59.1%110 W · 76 L | +20.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 66c | 76.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 69.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 66c | 39.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 39.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 66c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Over | 37c | 27.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -25.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5this page
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: SK Brann O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: Team to AdvanceSK Brann won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.