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Europa Conference League · resolved market

SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,560 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over7c1,610$108 inWon+$1,502.163,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under45c1,450$654 inLost-$654.0840844.4%181 W · 227 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over13c1,313$174 inWon+$1,139.8233442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over58c783.64$455 inWon+$328.589738.1%37 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over5c554$25 inWon+$529.072,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Over55c500.01$275 inWon+$2251369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+57.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Over55c444.44$244 inWon+$2003745.9%17 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over5c334$17 inWon+$316.971,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over7c249.2$17 inWon+$231.961,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under28c239.3$67 inLost-$66.9155953.1%297 W · 262 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under4c230.26$10 inLost-$10.2680%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under37c120.44$45 inLost-$44.5620543.9%90 W · 115 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over17c117.6$20 inWon+$97.6118456.5%104 W · 80 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over17c117.6$20 inWon+$97.6118659.1%110 W · 76 L+20.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over17c117.6$20 inWon+$97.6115763.1%99 W · 58 L+24.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over53c95.73$51 inWon+$44.645064%32 W · 18 L+11.4wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+81.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over50c90$45 inWon+$4519545.6%89 W · 106 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under47c85.99$40 inLost-$40.4212239.3%48 W · 74 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under41c74.99$31 inLost-$31.0234754.8%190 W · 157 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under35c42$15 inLost-$14.744251.6%228 W · 214 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon+$16.3618642.5%79 W · 107 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Over51c20$10 inWon+$9.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.